- 1 Washington Nationals – New York Mets: Runs look very much on the menu!
- 2 The fascinating Nationals contradiction
- 3 The Mets are ready to pounce on the weakness
- 4 MLB Pick Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
- 5 First, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information moves fast
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals
Washington Nationals – New York Mets: Runs look very much on the menu! 
Nationals Park is set for a game that has all the makings of a scoreboard fest. Right from the off, Washington’s profile screams production at both ends. Among the most explosive outfits in the country, the Washington Nationals are putting up 5.43 runs a game while giving up 5.70. Up against them, New York’s line-up, modest enough at the plate this season, should still get plenty of chances to work the bases. Our read is built first and foremost on the frantic pace the Nationals usually force.
The fascinating Nationals contradiction 
At 23-24, Washington’s record is more interesting than your standard mid-table team. At the plate, the Nationals have been a handful: 56 home runs and a .324 on-base percentage. Those numbers put them in the upper tier of the country’s hitters. The flip side is a pitching staff with alarm bells ringing. With close to 66 homers allowed this season and a miserable 1.41 WHIP, the back end keeps turning Nationals games into track meets.
The Mets are ready to pounce on the weakness 
The visitors from New York are averaging just 3.83 runs per game, but their recent 6-4 run has no doubt given Washington’s dugout a few headaches. In this exact spot, the Mets’ season-long wobble matters less than the soft underbelly of the opposition. They do not need to be flawless against a defence giving up more than nine hits a night and owning the worst home-run rate in the league. If the top of the order gets moving early, clearing 9.5 runs should be well within reach.
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MLB Pick Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
Over 9.5 runs in the game
Backing the over looks like the obvious mathematical play. Games involving the home side are producing a whopping 11.13 combined runs on average. Irvin’s shortcomings put Washington’s structure under pressure immediately, while Scott, on the other side, usually exits the mound before long. That should force both managers into their bullpens very early. Expect a game loaded with scoring chances and back the over.
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