Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund – Free Football Prediction and Picks – Bundesliga – May 16, 2026

Werder Bremen – Borussia Dortmund: the curtain comes down

The home side can finally breathe after sealing survival in the top flight. Borussia Dortmund, meanwhile, are chasing a points total they have not reached for seven years. The pressure is gone. What should be left is a fairly open game with goals in it.

Bremen’s safety is confirmed

The recent defeat to Hoffenheim did no lasting damage. Wolfsburg’s slip has mathematically kept the hosts up. Daniel Thioune now has a group playing without the weight of a relegation battle on its shoulders. Even so, the late-season form is hardly pretty. Three straight matches without a win has taken the shine off the run-in. Defensively, they keep leaking. Eleven goals conceded in the last six outings tells its own story. The Weserstadion has not been much of a fortress either this season. Seven home defeats in front of a frustrated crowd. The historical record against Borussia Dortmund is grim, and the first meeting was a one-sided battering from Dortmund.

The numbers Dortmund are chasing Borussia Dortmund

The league title is still out of reach for the Ruhr club. But second place is already locked up for Borussia Dortmund. Niko Kovac is aiming to hit a symbolic 73-point mark. The comeback win over Frankfurt underlined their cushion over Leipzig. There have been real signs of improvement at the back this year. Just 34 goals conceded is a clear step forward. Up front, though, they are running a bit below their usual level. 68 goals so far is decent, not devastating. Strange as it sounds, their away form has started to wobble. Two straight road defeats have taken the edge off the yellow-and-black dressing room.

Probable lineups

Werder Bremen: Backhaus; Agu, Pieper, Friedl, Deman; Stage, Lynen, Puertas; Njinmah, Musah, Schmid

Borussia Dortmund: Meyer; Reggiani, Anton, Schlotterbeck; Couto, Sabitzer, Bellingham, Svensson; Beier, Inacio; Silva

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Let’s do it

Football Prediction Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund

Both teams to score

The hosts can afford to relax now, and that should leave gaps. Dortmund will fancy picking through a defence that has looked far too generous.

At the other end, though, the visitors’ slack away form should open the door to counter-attacks. The smart money says both sides find the net before the final whistle.

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