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Stockport County vs Tranmere Rovers EFL Trophy prediction

Stockport County vs Tranmere Rovers – Free Football Prediction – Nov 10

Stockport County vs Tranmere Rovers: second in League One against 11th in League Two

Luca Ashby-Hammond has kept goal for Stockport County in every EFL Trophy game this season, and he won’t on Tuesday. He was sent off at Cray Wanderers in the FA Cup at the weekend, so Oliver Whatmuff is expected to start at Edgeley Park.

It’s the only real disruption for a side that’s flying. Stockport are second in League One with 26 points from 14 games and have already qualified from their Trophy group with two wins from two. They host Tranmere Rovers on Tuesday 10 November, kick-off 19:00 UK time.

Tranmere have played once in the group and won 1-0 against Shrewsbury Town. That leaves them on three points with two games still to play, this one and a meeting with Everton Under-21s, who have none. A win here would put them through, and a defeat wouldn’t finish them.

Stockport’s Trophy run has been about goals. They put six past Everton’s Under-21s, conceded three in the same game and then kept a clean sheet against Shrewsbury, the side Tranmere edged 1-0.

The rivalry has gone Stockport’s way for a long time. Tranmere have beaten them only twice since 2010, and the most recent meeting, in the FA Cup last season, ended 3-1 to Stockport.

Stockport reached the League One play-off final last season and lost it to Bolton. Tranmere finished 19th in League Two with 41 points and stayed up with little room to spare. I expect that gap to show, even with both managers changing their sides.

Stockport County: eight Trophy goals in two games and a squad deep enough to rotate Stockport County

Jimmy McNulty’s side opened the group with a 6-3 win over Everton Under-21s and followed it with a 2-0 win over Shrewsbury. Eight goals in two games, with qualification sealed before the last round.

Stockport came from behind to beat AFC Wimbledon 2-1 in their last League One game, with Jack Diamond and Ethan Ennis scoring in the second half. They average 1.86 goals a game this season and concede one.

Stockport needed an extra-time goal to get past Cray Wanderers in the FA Cup, and they finished it without their Trophy goalkeeper after Ashby-Hammond’s red card, which is why Whatmuff comes in.

Kyle Wootton, the club’s top scorer, is set to be rested. Mickael Mandron is expected to lead the line instead. Oliver Norwood and Lewis Fiorini are set to continue in midfield, and Jack Diamond, one of the scorers against Wimbledon, isn’t in the projected eleven.

Stockport have six points and a goal difference of plus five. They’re through whatever happens on Tuesday, so McNulty can manage minutes, though a win would make first place very hard to take from them.

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Tranmere Rovers: unbeaten in three league games, then a 3-0 cup exit Tranmere Rovers

Darrell Clarke’s side are 11th in League Two with 19 points from 14 games. They’re unbeaten in three league matches and won the most recent of them 3-1 against Cheltenham Town.

Tranmere then went out of the FA Cup 3-0 to Barnet, with Kane Smith, Nnamdi Oforbh and Damola Ajayi all scoring in the closing stages of the game.

Dylan Jones scored the only goal against Shrewsbury in the group and both against Cheltenham, and he’s expected to start on the right of an attacking three behind Ironside.

Will Vaulks and Tom Conlon should continue together in midfield, with Tom Ince in the number 10 role. That’s a recognisable first-choice spine, and it suggests Clarke wants the win that would send Tranmere through with a game to spare.

Tranmere scored once against Shrewsbury, a side Stockport beat 2-0, and their defence has to deal with a home team that put six past Everton’s Under-21s.

Last season’s 19th-place finish came with 41 points. This season has been steadier, and 19 points from 14 games is already close to half of that total.

Probable lineup Stockport County: Whatmuff; Dacres-Cogley, Wilson-Brown, Jobe; Ennis, Norwood, Fiorini, Adigun; Glover, Mandron, Wood
Probable lineup Tranmere Rovers: McGee; Senior, Faulkner, Nevett, Slater; Conlon, Vaulks; Jones, Ince, Whitaker; Ironside

Free Football Prediction: Stockport County vs Tranmere Rovers

Our prediction: Stockport County -1 handicap at 1.61

A Stockport win is priced at 1.34, which is too short, so the handicap is the way in. Stockport have scored eight times in two Trophy games, they’re second in League One and they’ve lost to Tranmere twice in 16 years.

Wootton is likely to sit out and Whatmuff is a change in goal, and Tranmere have a strong reason to play their best side. A 1-0 home win would leave the handicap short.

I’m backing Stockport to win by two anyway. Stockport scored six against Everton’s Under-21s, and Tranmere conceded three in the closing stages at Barnet on Saturday.

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Author

  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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