- 1 Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: one point from first place against a side that has drawn every game
- 2 Slovakia: unbeaten in six under Weiss, but Lobotka’s ankle takes out the midfield anchor
- 3 Faroe Islands: four draws, five goals scored and five conceded
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Slovakia vs Faroe Islands
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: one point from first place against a side that has drawn every game 
Adrian Justinussen’s long-range shot on 66 minutes in Tórshavn on 2 October is the reason Slovakia haven’t already won this group. It cancelled out Gunnar Vatnhamar’s own goal on 38 minutes and gave the Faroe Islands a 1-1 draw.
Slovakia vs Faroe Islands kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Friday 13 November at the Košice Football Arena, on matchday five of League C Group 3. Around 6,000 tickets had been sold before the squad met up on 8 November.
Slovakia have 10 points from four games, nine goals scored and two conceded. The Faroes are second on four, level with Moldova, and Kazakhstan have two. One Slovak point on Friday settles first place and promotion to League B, with a trip to Astana still to come on Monday.
The Faroes’ four group games have all finished level: 1-1 at home to Kazakhstan, 1-1 in Moldova, 1-1 against Slovakia and 2-2 in Astana. Both teams have scored in every one of them.
Vladimír Weiss Sr. comes into it without Stanislav Lobotka, Leo Sauer or Adam Obert, and with Tomáš Suslov a doubt. I expect Slovakia to win. I’m far less sure they’ll win it by much, and that’s where I’d look for the bet.
Slovakia: unbeaten in six under Weiss, but Lobotka’s ankle takes out the midfield anchor 
Weiss came back for a second spell in May, and Slovakia haven’t lost since. They beat Malta 2-1 and drew 2-2 with Montenegro in June friendlies, then took 10 points from four group games.
The best of it came on 6 October in Chișinău. David Strelec scored on 8 minutes, Suslov on 44, Dávid Hancko on 60 and Lukáš Haraslín on 75 in a 4-0 win over Moldova. Hancko, the Atlético Madrid defender, has two goals in the campaign, more than anyone else in the squad.
Lobotka started that night alongside Ondrej Duda and won’t be in Košice. The Napoli midfielder hurt his left ankle in the 4-1 win at Monza and is expected to be out until the end of the year.
The list doesn’t stop there. Obert withdrew on 8 November to recover in Italy, Leo Sauer, who scored against Kazakhstan, has a muscle injury, and Suslov is waiting on a scan for a thigh problem. Martin Dúbravka and Denis Vavro aren’t in the squad either, and Weiss has called up four uncapped players, Werder Bremen’s Ľudovít Reis among them.
The home record in this group is two wins from two, 2-0 against Moldova on 26 September and 2-1 against Kazakhstan three days later. The second needed a Hancko goal on 82 minutes after Ramazan Karimov had equalised before half-time.
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Faroe Islands: four draws, five goals scored and five conceded 
Eyðun Klakstein said on 3 November that second place and a play-off spot are the target. The Faroes host Moldova in Tórshavn on Monday 16 November with both sides on four points, so Friday matters less to them than Monday does.
Their goal difference is zero and Moldova’s is minus five. Klakstein’s side don’t need anything in Košice, but a heavy defeat would hand that advantage straight back before the game that decides second place.
The goals have come from all over the team. Áki Samuelsen, Viljormur Davidsen, Justinussen, Petur Knudsen and Grimsby’s Géza Dávid Turi have one each, and Davidsen has 94 caps.
In October the Faroes caused Slovakia real problems after the break with long balls and set-pieces. Slovakia ran the first half, then Dominik Greif had to tip a Hanus Sørensen shot onto the crossbar in the second.
Martin Agnarsson was sent off on 65 minutes in Astana on 6 October, which should cost him at least one game. Away from home this year the Faroes won 2-1 in San Marino in March, lost 1-0 in Estonia and won 1-0 in Latvia in June.
Strømsgodset’s Mattias Lamhauge is the likely goalkeeper, behind a defence built around Vejle’s Vatnhamar and Hellas Verona’s Andrias Edmundsson. The Faroes have conceded five in four group games, fewer than Moldova’s eight or Kazakhstan’s seven.
Probable lineup Slovakia: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Faroe Islands: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Slovakia vs Faroe Islands
Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals (odds 2.07)
Slovakia are 1.34 to win, which is too short to back, and I think they’ll win anyway. The question is the margin. Slovakia’s two home group games produced two and three goals, and the Faroes’ four games produced two, two, two and four.
The absences push it the same way. Without Lobotka in midfield, with Obert gone and Suslov doubtful, Weiss has less control and fewer goals from his wide players, against a side that leans on long balls and set-pieces and only needs to avoid a big defeat.
Under 2.5 at 2.07 covers a 1-0, a 2-0 or another 1-1. Over 2.5 is 1.77, and I’d leave that alone.
Slovakia fly out from Košice on Saturday for Kazakhstan on Monday 16 November. Once they’re ahead on Friday, a point is all they need, and Weiss has little reason to chase a third goal with a trip to Astana three days later.
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