- 1 San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors: an eight-game streak against a seven-game streak, and only one team with Wembanyama
- 2 San Antonio Spurs: Wembanyama at 29.1 and 12.0, with a +10.1 net rating behind him
- 3 Golden State Warriors: Curry at 31.3 points and a frontcourt held together by rookies and new signings
- 4 Free NBA Prediction: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors: an eight-game streak against a seven-game streak, and only one team with Wembanyama 
Stephen Curry scored 41 points on Saturday night, and Golden State needed every one of them to beat Orlando 126-119 in overtime at Chase Center. It was the Warriors’ seventh straight win after an 0-3 start. They’re 7-3 and fifth in the West.
San Antonio went 0-2 to open the season and hasn’t lost since. The Spurs have won eight in a row, the last four on the road, and they’re 8-2 and second in the West. The latest was a 125-103 win in Portland on Saturday, a night after a 124-109 win in Sacramento.
Both teams play twice more before Friday. The Spurs are in Phoenix tonight and in Chicago on Wednesday. Golden State hosts New Orleans tonight and goes to Houston on Wednesday, the first stop of a five-game road trip. Each side gets one day off before this game, so neither can claim a rest edge.
Tip-off is Friday 13 November at 9:30pm ET at Frost Bank Center. These teams split last season 2-2, and the two San Antonio losses came in November 2025, 125-120 and 109-108, both in this building.
The Spurs took the last two meetings by 13 and 14, on February 11 and April 1, both at Chase Center. I’d weigh those far more than the November games, because San Antonio’s rotation has moved on since then and Golden State’s is missing three regulars.
San Antonio Spurs: Wembanyama at 29.1 and 12.0, with a +10.1 net rating behind him 
Victor Wembanyama is averaging 29.1 points, 12.0 rebounds and 3.9 blocks. His 52-point, 24-rebound, eight-block game against Dallas on November 4 came in a 112-111 win, and the Spurs have needed him less since. They’ve beaten Sacramento by 15 and Portland by 22.
The supporting cast does real work. Dylan Harper is scoring 18.1 a night. Stephon Castle adds 15.3 points and 5.0 assists, De’Aaron Fox 13.8 points and 5.9 assists. Devin Vassell, at 11.9, is questionable for tonight in Phoenix with a left adductor problem, and Julian Champagnie would start if he sits.
San Antonio’s offensive rating is 117.2 and its defensive rating 107.2, a net of +10.1. The Spurs score 118.4 points a game, sixth in the league, and allow 108.1, eighth. Those figures come from a 10-game sample, and eight of those games are wins.
Tobias Harris, who signed a two-year deal around July 1, is out with a left calf injury. Jayden Quaintance is out after right knee surgery. Neither absence has slowed the rotation Mitch Johnson has settled on.
The one soft spot is the schedule. Phoenix tonight, Chicago on Wednesday and home on Friday is three games in five days with travel. A home game against a team on the second stop of a road trip is still the better end of that deal.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Golden State Warriors: Curry at 31.3 points and a frontcourt held together by rookies and new signings 
Curry is averaging 31.3 points. Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg, the 11th pick in June, is next at 21.2 points and 7.2 rebounds. Brandin Podziemski adds 15.8, and the Warriors lead the league at 39.5% from three.
All five of the last five wins came at home. Golden State beat the Lakers 112-95, the Clippers 124-112, Phoenix 116-113, Miami 120-100 and Orlando in overtime. Friday is the second game of a trip that runs through November 19.
The injury list is long. Jimmy Butler is out until early January with a torn ACL. Kristaps Porzingis hasn’t played this season and isn’t expected back before January 2. Moses Moody is out until around December 1 with a patellar tendon injury, and Will Richard has a thumb problem. Gui Santos is day-to-day with a knee issue.
That leaves Steve Kerr with a starting five of Curry, Podziemski, Lendeborg, Santos and Draymond Green, a group that’s 3-0 together. Green is scoring 2.9 points but handing out 7.8 assists. Brandon Williams, new this season, adds 11.1 points off the bench and De’Anthony Melton 9.4.
Golden State’s offensive rating sits at 116.7 and its defensive rating at 112.1, a net of +4.6. That’s a good team. It’s also almost five points per 100 possessions worse than San Antonio’s at the defensive end, and Wembanyama is the reason that number holds up.
Probable lineup San Antonio Spurs: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Golden State Warriors: Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Yaxel Lendeborg, Gui Santos, Draymond Green
Free NBA Prediction: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors
Our prediction: San Antonio Spurs to win by 6 or more points
The early moneyline has San Antonio at 1.33, too short to back on its own. The handicap is where the value sits. The Spurs’ net rating is 5.5 points better than Golden State’s, they’re at home, and the Warriors’ best results all came at Chase Center.
I’m not convinced Golden State’s frontcourt can handle Wembanyama for 48 minutes. Santos is day-to-day, Porzingis isn’t playing and Green is averaging 2.9 points. San Antonio’s last two wins over the Warriors came by 13 and 14, and both were on the road.
Curry at 31.3 points can win a game on his own, and he did it against Orlando on Saturday. The Spurs’ defense allows 108.1 a night, eighth in the league, and has the shot blocker to make him work for it. No spread is posted yet; take the Spurs handicap if the price is 1.45 or higher.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply