- 1 Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth: the NHL’s best power play and a penalty kill at 70.4%
- 2 Vegas Golden Knights: 7-0-0 when scoring first and two goalies around .900
- 3 Utah Mammoth: Cooley’s two hat tricks in four games and goalies at .872 and .871
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth: the NHL’s best power play and a penalty kill at 70.4% 
Utah’s power play is converting 38.3% of its chances, the best rate in the NHL. Its penalty kill stops only 70.4% of the chances against it, and the Mammoth take 4.5 penalties a game, fifth-most in the league. Those three numbers do most of the explaining for a team that has scored 61 goals and allowed 59 in 17 games.
That team visits T-Mobile Arena on Wednesday 11 November, puck drop 9:30pm ET, for the first meeting since Vegas knocked it out of the first round last spring. The Golden Knights won that series 4-2, closing it with a 5-1 win in Game 6 on 1 May in which Mitch Marner scored twice, and Utah went 1 for 16 on the power play across the six games.
The regular season went the other way. Utah won two of the three meetings, 5-1 at home on 24 November 2025 and 4-0 in Las Vegas on 19 March, after Vegas had won the first 4-1 in Salt Lake City on 20 November.
Both teams are near the top of their divisions. Utah is 10-6-1 with 21 points, second in the Central, and 6-4-1 on the road. Vegas is 11-5-2 with 24 points, second in the Pacific, and it’s won two straight on its own road trip, 3-2 in Pittsburgh and 2-1 in Detroit.
The schedule around the game matters. Utah plays in Ottawa on Saturday, then makes the trip to Las Vegas, and hosts St. Louis on Thursday, so Wednesday is the first half of a back-to-back. Vegas plays in Buffalo on Sunday and then has two days at home before the game. No odds had been posted at the time of writing.
Vegas Golden Knights: 7-0-0 when scoring first and two goalies around .900 
Vegas is 7-0-0 when it scores first, and its games follow a pattern: get ahead, then lean on a defense that has allowed 49 goals in 18 games, an average of 2.72. It scores 3.28 a game at the other end.
Jack Eichel leads the team with 23 points, 7 goals and 16 assists. Mark Stone has 10 goals and 19 points, Marner has 18 points, 16 of them assists, and Tomas Hertl has 12. Connelly scored the winner in Detroit with 1:42 left on Thursday, his third straight game with a goal, although that night also ended Marner’s 11-game point streak.
The goaltending has been steady rather than spectacular. Carter Hart is 5-3-2 with a 2.49 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage after coming back from a lower-body injury on 2 November, and Adin Hill is 6-2-0 with a 2.73 and a .895. Hart made 25 saves in each of his last two starts.
The special teams are where Vegas should find an edge. Its power play converts 27.8%, and it scored on the man advantage in Boston and Pittsburgh this week. Against a Utah team that takes so many penalties and kills only 70.4% of them, that unit should get plenty of work.
The penalty kill is the weak spot, at 75.0%, and Utah’s power play is the worst possible matchup for it. Wotherspoon is on injured reserve with an upper-body injury and Alex Pietrangelo is dealing with a hip problem, which thins the blue line further.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Utah Mammoth: Cooley’s two hat tricks in four games and goalies at .872 and .871 
Logan Cooley scored a hat trick in Montreal on Thursday, his second in four games, and Utah still lost 5-4 in overtime. He has 11 goals and 21 points, and he and Clayton Keller, with 22 points, are the two names the Vegas defense has to account for.
The offense runs deep. Mikhail Sergachev has 20 points from the blue line, 15 of them assists, Nick Schmaltz has 9 goals and 20 points, and Dylan Guenther has 12. Schmaltz scored the power-play winner in a 3-2 win in Toronto on 3 November, and Keller had three assists that night.
The goaltending hasn’t matched the scoring. Karel Vejmelka is 6-5-0 with a 3.31 goals-against average and an .872 save percentage, and Cossa is 4-1-1 with a 3.30 and an .871. Cossa started both games this week, and Vejmelka was the expected starter in Ottawa.
Utah’s results have swung from game to game. Before Thursday it had alternated wins and losses over nine straight games, and it’s 5-4-1 in its last 10. The 6-3 loss in Philadelphia on 1 November, when Vejmelka faced only 21 shots and made 15 saves, shows how quickly a game can get away from it.
The blue line is short. Marino has been on injured reserve since 1 November with an upper-body injury, Lamoureux is out four to six months after shoulder surgery, and Schmidt and Yamamoto are day to day. The Mammoth do outshoot opponents, 505 to 431 so far, which is the main reason they’ve stayed above .500.
Probable lineup Vegas Golden Knights: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Utah Mammoth: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Vegas Golden Knights vs Utah Mammoth
Our prediction: Vegas Golden Knights to win (overtime included)
Utah’s power play is the biggest threat Vegas will face this week, and its 38.3% rate against a 75.0% penalty kill is the strongest case for the visitors. I’d still take Vegas, because the Mammoth give the opponent more power plays than almost anyone and kill only 70.4% of them, and their two goalies are both under .875.
The schedule adds to it. Vegas gets two days at home after Buffalo, while Utah comes in from Ottawa and has St. Louis waiting the next night, a spot where teams often save their better goalie for one of the two games. Vegas has also won every game this season in which it scored first.
No odds had been published when we wrote this. Take the Vegas moneyline including overtime at 1.45 or above; if it opens shorter, Vegas on the -1.5 puck line is the alternative, with the risk that Utah’s power play keeps it within a goal.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of Vegas Golden Knights and Utah Mammoth on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply