- 1 Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans: two slow starts, and a 9:00pm game the night before
- 2 Golden State Warriors: Curry at 30.0, with Butler, Porzingis and Moody all out
- 3 New Orleans Pelicans: 12.9 steals a game and a road back-to-back ahead
- 4 Free NBA Prediction: Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans: two slow starts, and a 9:00pm game the night before 
Yaxel Lendeborg scored 37 against the Clippers on 1 November, with six threes, and he’s averaging 21.5 points and 7.0 rebounds in his first NBA season. He’s the second-leading scorer on a team that went from 0-3 to 5-3 inside two weeks.
Golden State hosts New Orleans at Chase Center on Monday 9 November at 10:00pm ET. It’s the first meeting of the season between two teams that have turned their records around: the Pelicans started 0-4 and have won four straight to reach 4-4.
The standings have them close together, with the Warriors eighth in the West and the Pelicans 10th. Golden State’s five-game run took in wins in Denver and Minneapolis and home wins over the Lakers, Clippers and Suns, and its game against Miami on Thursday night hadn’t been played at the time of writing.
New Orleans plays the Clippers at Intuit Dome at 9:00pm ET on Sunday, so Monday is the second night of a road back-to-back with a flight in between. Golden State hosts Orlando at 8:30pm ET on Saturday and then has a day off.
The Warriors won two of three meetings last season, 124-106 in New Orleans on 16 November and 104-96 at home on 29 November. The Pelicans took the last one 113-109 on 24 February. No line had been posted at the time of writing.
Golden State Warriors: Curry at 30.0, with Butler, Porzingis and Moody all out 
Stephen Curry averages 30.0 points in six games, and he scored 99 across one three-win stretch while going 17-of-33 from three. Steve Kerr rested him and Green on 1 November, the first night of a back-to-back, and the Warriors still beat the Clippers 124-112.
That depth has come from necessity. Butler (knee) is listed until at least 2 January, Porzingis (illness) and Moody (knee) until at least 1 December, and Santos (knee) until at least 7 November. Podziemski has stepped up to 17.0 points and 5.0 assists, with B. Williams at 11.6 and Melton at 10.6.
Golden State’s offensive rating of 119.2 is fifth in the league through eight games. Its 117.5 points a game ranked 11th, and Green’s contribution has moved almost entirely to playmaking, with 6.3 assists against 3.2 points.
The defense hasn’t kept pace. A rating of 116.2 ranks 22nd, the team allows 114.6 a game, and that’s the reason the net rating sits at plus-2.9, only 12th, despite the winning run.
Chase Center has been steady at 3-1. The latest win there was a 116-113 result over Phoenix on 2 November, the third home win in a row after 112-95 over the Lakers on 30 October.
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New Orleans Pelicans: 12.9 steals a game and a road back-to-back ahead 
Jamahl Mosley’s team scores 121.6 points a game, and it allows 119.3. Through seven games its offensive rating was 115.2, 11th, and its defensive rating 113.6, 16th, for a net rating of plus-1.6.
The win over Utah on Wednesday, 120-113, had four players at 20 or more. Williamson scored 23, Bey 22, Murray 20 with eight rebounds and four assists in 44:30, and Queen 20 with nine rebounds and six assists, while Utah’s George had 39.
Murray’s return matters here. He’d missed three games for personal reasons and now averages 17.8 points and 6.0 assists in four appearances, which gives Williamson (21.3) a second creator alongside Fears (12.9 points, 4.9 assists).
The Pelicans won 135-134 in overtime in Memphis on 2 November, ending the Grizzlies’ unbeaten start. Williamson scored 25 with nine of them in overtime, and Matkovic had a career-high 25. They’ve also beaten Sacramento 132-120 and Atlanta 121-99 during this run, three of the four wins at home.
Turnovers and the road are the concerns. New Orleans gives the ball away 17.1 times a game against 12.9 steals of its own, and it’s 1-2 away from home. Murphy (knee, 14.9 points) is listed until at least 6 November, Missi (knee) until at least 8 November, and Poole has missed the last two games.
Probable lineup Golden State Warriors: Curry, Podziemski, Richard, Lendeborg, Green (expected)
Probable lineup New Orleans Pelicans: Not announced at time of publication
Free NBA Prediction: Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans
Our prediction: Golden State Warriors to win
We’re backing the rested home team. New Orleans tips off in Los Angeles at 9:00pm ET on Sunday and plays again at 10:00pm ET on Monday, and it’s already 1-2 on the road. Golden State will have had a day off and is 3-1 at Chase Center.
The Pelicans’ case rests on their pace of scoring against the 22nd-ranked defense, and with Williamson, Murray and Bey all producing, they can reach 120 on tired legs. The injuries to Butler and Porzingis also leave Golden State thin up front. Curry at 30.0 and Lendeborg at 21.5 give the Warriors the two best scoring options on the floor, and we’d trust the offensive rating of 119.2 over a team on no rest.
Thursday’s game against Miami and Saturday’s against Orlando could change the picture on Curry’s minutes. If the moneyline falls below our 1.45 floor, we’d switch to the spread.
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