- 1 Fulham vs Newcastle United: Ramsey’s late red and a defence facing more shots than anyone
- 2 Fulham: four points from two games, and very little from open play
- 3 Newcastle United: 138 shots faced in eight games and 4-1 twice on the road
- 4 Free Premier League Prediction: Fulham vs Newcastle United
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
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Fulham vs Newcastle United: Ramsey’s late red and a defence facing more shots than anyone 
Jacob Ramsey picked up two yellow cards in stoppage time on Monday, and his red card in the 1-0 home defeat to Everton should rule him out of Newcastle United’s trip to Fulham. It was Newcastle’s second loss to Everton in four days, following the 3-1 Carabao Cup exit, and it dropped them to 13th.
The game at Craven Cottage is on Saturday 7 November, kick-off 15:00 UK time. Newcastle have 11 points from nine (W3 D2 L4), and Fulham are 15th on nine (W2 D3 L4), so a home win would put Alvaro Arbeloa’s side level on points with their visitors.
Both managers are under some scrutiny, for different reasons. Arbeloa took four points from his last two games, a 1-0 win at Coventry and a 1-1 at Aston Villa, without yet moving the club out of the bottom six. Matthias Jaissle, who replaced Eddie Howe at Newcastle in the summer, has lost four of nine league games and has had the short week after Monday’s game to fix it.
The last six meetings are split evenly at three wins each. Fulham won the most recent, 2-0 here on the final day of last season, 24 May, with Issa Diop heading in a rebound on 20 minutes and Tom Cairney adding the second on 80. Newcastle won the two meetings before that, both 2-1, in October and December 2025.
The market has Fulham at 2.12, the draw at 3.75 and Newcastle at 3.35. Fulham’s home advantage is doing most of the work in that price, and given how Newcastle have defended away from St James’ Park, I don’t think it’s wrong.
Fulham: four points from two games, and very little from open play 
Fulham have scored two league goals in those two games, and neither says much for their open-play creation. Oscar Bobb got the winner at Coventry on 80 minutes, and the equaliser at Villa Park was an own goal, Zion Suzuki dropping Alex Iwobi’s corner behind his own line on 64 minutes.
That draw at Villa was a useful one. John McGinn hit the crossbar with an early penalty, awarded by VAR for a handball by Sander Berge, and Fulham had the better of the second half once they’d levelled, even if they didn’t create a clear chance after the equaliser. Iwobi had already missed from close range a minute before it.
Arbeloa has one enforced change at left-back, with Ryan Sessegnon still suspended, and no other absences have been reported. Joshua King and Bobb are expected to start, with Iwobi and Gonzalo Garcia both options for the attack.
Fulham’s goal difference of minus two is better than Newcastle’s minus three, even with two fewer points. They finished 11th on 52 points last season.
Craven Cottage has also been a good place to catch Newcastle recently. Fulham won 3-1 here in September 2024 and 2-0 in May, and a third straight home league win against them would lift Arbeloa’s side towards mid-table.
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Newcastle United: 138 shots faced in eight games and 4-1 twice on the road 
Newcastle faced 138 shots across their first eight league games, the most in the Premier League, and allowed at least 15 in six of them. Their expected goals against of 13.7 over that stretch was the fourth-worst in the division, and they’d conceded 14 by the end of it.
The away results reflect that. Leeds beat them 4-1 at Elland Road on 14 September, and Coventry repeated the score on 12 October. Those two 4-1 defeats account for eight of the goals they’ve let in this season.
Monday’s defeat wasn’t a collapse, and it shouldn’t be read as one. Anthony Elanga’s shot hit the post and ran across the line without going in, Yoane Wissa forced Jordan Pickford into a save on 90 minutes, and only Barry’s tap-in separated the sides.
Harvey Barnes remains the main threat, with four goals and three assists in his last 12 league appearances, and he was the liveliest player in the first half on Monday. Newcastle’s problem position is left-back: Tino Livramento is out, Ewen Jaouen is unavailable in goal, and Lewis Miley, Matias Fernandez-Pardo and Will Osula are all uncertain.
Elanga is back from injury and Jacob Murphy and Barnes are available, so Jaissle isn’t short of forwards. The difficulty lies behind them, and in the fact that a side playing its third game in ten days has to defend better than it has done on the road so far.
Probable lineup Fulham: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Newcastle United: Not announced at time of publication
Free Premier League Prediction: Fulham vs Newcastle United
Our prediction: Fulham to win (2.12)
My pick is Fulham to win at 2.12. They’ve had a full week to prepare, they’ve taken four points from two games, and Newcastle arrive having lost twice to Everton in four days with Ramsey sent off and several players uncertain.
Newcastle have the more dangerous forwards, and Fulham’s two most recent goals came from a late Bobb winner and a goalkeeping error. That’s a real concern for a side relying on open play to break a mid-table opponent.
The shot volume is what settles it. A team that allowed 138 shots in eight games and lost 4-1 twice on the road is vulnerable to King, Bobb and Iwobi, and Fulham have beaten Newcastle in three of the last six meetings.
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