- 1 Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers: three Bolton wins in four visits to The Valley
- 2 Charlton Athletic: six goals in ten games and a home run that ended against Norwich
- 3 Bolton Wanderers: 1.80 goals a game on the road, 2.20 conceded
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers: three Bolton wins in four visits to The Valley 
Bolton Wanderers have won three of their last four league visits to The Valley: 4-1 in September 2021, 2-1 in January 2023 and 2-0 in October 2023. Charlton’s only win in that stretch was 2-0 in August 2024, and the two clubs meet there again on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 19:45 UK time.
The table offers very little to separate them. Bolton are 19th and Charlton 20th, level on points, and Charlton sit five points clear of the relegation zone after 13 games.
Their paths to that position look nothing alike. Charlton have taken five points since the start of September and haven’t won in their last ten matches: five draws and five defeats. Bolton have won three of their last ten, and they’ve done it by outscoring people, with 16 goals in that run against 24 conceded.
The wider head-to-head is close. Eighteen meetings have produced five Charlton wins, six for Bolton and seven draws, and both teams have scored in 13 of them.
We’d weigh the last ten matches far more heavily than anything older, and those favour the visitors on the numbers that decide low-table games. Bolton take 1.40 points per game away from home, Charlton take 0.75 at The Valley, and that gap is the basis of our pick.
Charlton Athletic: six goals in ten games and a home run that ended against Norwich 
Charlton have averaged 0.60 goals per game across their last ten matches, and they’ve failed to score in five of them. Their expected goals figure over the same run is 1.05, so Nathan Jones’s side are creating more than they’re converting, though not by a margin that would turn draws into wins.
Saturday’s 3-0 defeat at Middlesbrough was the third loss in a row. Watford won 2-0 before it, and Norwich took all three points from The Valley with a 3-1 win on 24 October, a result that ended a five-game unbeaten home run.
That home record is still the best argument for Charlton. They’ve lost one of six at The Valley this season, and in the home games within their last ten they’ve conceded exactly one a match. Bristol City left with a 1-1 draw in the same period, and Charlton took a 2-2 draw at Burnley.
Jones has personnel decisions to make in attack. Miles Leaburn is likely to drop to the bench, with Tyreece Campbell and Karlan Grant the options to support Kelman. Conor Coventry and Ivan Mesik are both available to return to the side after the Riverside defeat.
Collins Sichenje is out with a knee injury, Rob Apter is also sidelined with a knee problem, and Matt Godden is unavailable with a muscle injury. With six goals in ten matches, Charlton can’t easily absorb the loss of a striker, and the load falls on Kelman.
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Bolton Wanderers: 1.80 goals a game on the road, 2.20 conceded 
Bolton have the second-worst defensive record in the division, and they’ve lost their last two: 5-1 at home to Middlesbrough and 3-2 at home to Bristol City. They’ve conceded 2.60 goals per game at home over their last ten matches.
Steven Schumacher’s side look different away from it. They won 4-3 at Norwich and 3-1 at Wolves, then drew 0-0 at Southampton, and that three-match unbeaten run on the road is the reason they’re level with Charlton on points and not behind them.
The away numbers over the last ten matches back that up. Bolton have scored 1.80 goals per game on their travels, failed to score in 40% of those games and won 40%, the highest win rate in this fixture by some distance. Charlton have won none of their last ten.
Chris Forino went off injured against Bristol City, which should bring Lewis Brunt back into the defence. Ruben Rodrigues could replace Atsuki Ito in the side, and Iling-Junior and Gale are expected to supply the width and the runs from midfield.
Ethan Erhahon, John McAtee and Ryan Hardie are all out. The side has still scored 11 goals in its last six league matches, with four at Norwich and three at Wolves.
Probable lineup Charlton Athletic: Okonkwo; Ramsay, Mesik, Koumetio, Jones, Bell; Rankin-Costello, Coventry, Skipp; Campbell, Kelman
Probable lineup Bolton Wanderers: Bonham; Larrazabal, Brunt, Davies, Conway; Simons, Sheehan; Iling-Junior, Rodrigues, Gale; Dalby
Free Football Prediction: Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers draw no bet
We’re backing the side that has won matches recently against the side that hasn’t. Bolton have three wins in their last ten, all of them worth more than anything Charlton have produced since August, and their last three away league games returned seven goals and seven points.
Charlton’s home record is the case against, and it’s a real one: one defeat in six at The Valley. We still hold the pick, because Charlton have scored 0.60 goals a game over ten matches, and Bolton’s leak of 2.20 away from home only punishes teams that can finish. Draw no bet covers the likeliest alternative, since seven of the 18 meetings between these clubs have ended level.
We expect goals from the visitors first, a nervy second half and a one-goal margin, in the region of 2-1 to Bolton. Bolton have won three of their last four league trips to The Valley, scoring eight goals across those four games.
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