- 1 Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: 12 league games unbeaten for the leaders at the Racecourse
- 2 Wrexham: 15 goals in 13 games and four blanks
- 3 Middlesbrough: 30 goals, 2.0 expected a game and 2.00 points a game away
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: 12 league games unbeaten for the leaders at the Racecourse 
Middlesbrough last lost a Championship match in August. Saturday’s 3-0 win over Charlton made it 12 league games unbeaten and kept Kim Hellberg’s side top on 28 points, two clear of Swansea City.
They go to the Racecourse Ground on Wednesday 4 November, kick-off 19:45 UK time, to face a Wrexham side that hasn’t taken a point since beating Preston 4-1 on 17 October. Phil Parkinson’s team lost 1-0 at Sheffield United on Friday and sit 18th on 14 points.
The gap between the clubs is 14 points after 13 games. Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat with a goal difference of +13. Wrexham have 3 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats and a goal difference of -4.
The fixture itself has been closer than that suggests. Middlesbrough won 1-0 at home in the League Cup on 7 August, but the two league meetings before that finished 2-2 at the Racecourse on 2 May and 1-1 on Teesside on 25 October 2025.
Wrexham are 4.33 to win, the draw is 4.00 and Middlesbrough 1.75. We’d take the away win. Draw no bet at 1.30 is too short, and the 1.75 pays for a side scoring 2.3 goals a game.
Wrexham: 15 goals in 13 games and four blanks 
Wrexham have scored 15 league goals, 1.2 a game, and failed to score in four of their 13 matches. Their expected goals of 1.3 a game sits close to that total, so there’s little sign of bad luck in the figure.
Kieffer Moore has five of those goals and two assists, a third of the side’s output. Ekomie has two.
The Racecourse has been kinder than the road. Over their last ten matches Wrexham have taken 1.75 points a game at home and 0.83 away, and home wins over Southampton, 2-1, and Preston, 4-1, are the two best results of their season.
Birmingham and West Brom have both won 2-1 at the Racecourse, though. Wrexham have kept two clean sheets in 13 league games and conceded 19.
The injury list is long. Cacace, Broadhead, Revan, Windass and Cleworth are all listed out, and Thomason is a doubt with a thigh problem. Windass’s ankle injury has kept him out since before the Blackburn game on 24 October.
Parkinson is expected to stay with a back three of Doyle, Hyam and Joe Worrall, with Moore alone up front.
Their last ten matches in all competitions brought 1.20 points a game, three wins and failures to score in four of them. Expected goals over that stretch came to 1.28 for and 1.41 against, and both teams scored in half of those games.
The record against sides at the top has been uneven. Wrexham have lost 6-0 at West Ham, but they also beat Southampton and won 3-0 at Millwall earlier in the season, the two wins that show what this side can do on a good night.
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Middlesbrough: 30 goals, 2.0 expected a game and 2.00 points a game away 
Middlesbrough have scored in all 13 of their league games. They’ve got 30 goals in total, 2.3 a game, from an expected figure of 2.0, and their expected goals against is 1.0 a game.
Will Lankshear had 11 goals in his first 12 Championship appearances after signing from Tottenham in July. Behind him, Cozier-Duberry has three goals and five assists and Berhalter has three goals and two assists.
The away form holds up. Boro have taken 2.00 points a game on the road over their last ten matches, and that run includes a 5-1 win at Bolton and a 3-2 win at Stoke.
What they don’t do often is keep opponents out. They’ve conceded 17 in 13 games, kept three league clean sheets, and allowed 1.50 goals a game across the last ten matches in all competitions. The draws with Millwall, Birmingham and Cardiff all finished 2-2.
Alfie Jones is still out with a calf injury and Rokas Pukstas is unavailable, while Strelec is a doubt. Hellberg has named the same eleven for two games running.
Middlesbrough have kept 82% of their starting eleven the same over the last six matches, against 76% for Wrexham, so there’s no sign of a heavy rotation before the weekend trip to Watford.
Over the last ten matches in all competitions Boro have taken 2.10 points a game, won 60% of them at home and away alike, and failed to score just once. Morris adds two league goals from midfield and leads the squad with 42 tackles.
Probable lineup Wrexham: Patterson; Hyam, Doyle, Worrall; Kabore, Whiteman, James, Ekomie; Rathbone, O’Brien; Moore
Probable lineup Middlesbrough: Vitek; Brittain, Phillips, Malanda, Borges; Morris, Berhalter; Cozier-Duberry, McGree, Conway; Lankshear
Free Football Prediction: Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
Our prediction: Middlesbrough to win (odds 1.75)
Middlesbrough are 12 league games unbeaten, score 2.3 a game and take 2.00 points a game on the road. Wrexham have lost two straight, scored 1.2 a game and are missing five players, so we have the visitors shorter than 1.75.
The last two league meetings were both drawn, and Wrexham’s home form at 1.75 points a game is real. Boro’s habit of conceding also leaves a route back into the game for Moore.
We don’t think that’s enough. With both teams to score at 1.62 the market expects a Wrexham goal, and a 2-1 away win is the score that fits both the prices and the numbers.
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