- 1 Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth: nine points from nine for a club on its first European tour
- 2 Sparta Prague: 5-1 in the league, then 2-0 down at home in the cup
- 3 Bournemouth: eight goals scored, one conceded, and Milan beaten 3-0
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth: nine points from nine for a club on its first European tour
No English club had won its first three European fixtures since Sunderland in 1973/74. Bournemouth did it on 22 October, beating AC Milan 3-0 at the Vitality Stadium in their first ever Europa League campaign.
That made it nine points from nine. They’d already won 2-1 at Real Sociedad in September and beaten Sturm Graz 3-0 at home on 15 October, and across the three games they’ve scored eight and conceded one.
The fourth stop is Prague. Sparta host Marco Rose’s side at the epet ARENA on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 17:45 UK time.
Sparta have four points from three games: a 4-1 win at Ararat-Armenia, a 1-1 home draw with Lillestrøm and a 1-0 defeat at Olympiacos. Domestically they’re fourth in the Chance Liga, nine points behind Slavia, and they went out of the Czech Cup at home to Baník Ostrava last Wednesday.
The market has Bournemouth at 1.22 away from home and Sparta at 4.00. For once I think the bookmakers have it about right, and I’d go further on the margin.
Sparta Prague: 5-1 in the league, then 2-0 down at home in the cup 
Sparta’s last week was a mixed bag. They beat Slovácko 5-1 at home on 25 October, then lost 2-0 to Baník Ostrava at the same ground three days later and went out of the cup.
The league table shows 22 points from 12 games, which leaves them a long way behind their city rivals. A 2-1 defeat at Hradec Králové on 6 September and a 0-0 at Baník on 18 October are the results that cost them the most ground.
Home form has generally been good. Jablonec were beaten 2-0, Pardubice 2-0 and Slovácko 5-1, and Vysočina Jihlava conceded five in a 5-3 win at the start of October.
The goals arrive in bursts. Sparta scored five at Viktoria Žižkov in the cup, five against Jihlava, five against Slovácko and four in Yerevan. In their four games against Lillestrøm, Baník (twice) and Olympiacos since mid-October, they’ve scored once.
Europe has been harder. The 4-1 in Yerevan on the opening night was the high point, but they could only draw 1-1 at home with a Lillestrøm side that later lost 6-0 to Real Sociedad.
The 1-0 defeat in Piraeus on 22 October was tight, but Sparta didn’t score. Add the Baník cup tie and that’s two blanks in their last three competitive matches before Sunday’s trip to Bohemians.
A defeat on Thursday would leave Sparta on four points after four rounds, with half of the league phase gone. This squad has played only one home game in the league phase so far, and it ended 1-1 against the side that later lost 6-0 to Real Sociedad.
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Bournemouth: eight goals scored, one conceded, and Milan beaten 3-0 
Marco Rose agreed in April to succeed Andoni Iraola, and his first European campaign couldn’t have started much better. Bournemouth have won all three games, two of them at home and one in San Sebastián.
The win in San Sebastián on 17 September looks better with every round. Real Sociedad have since beaten Lillestrøm 6-0 and drawn 1-1 with Union Saint-Gilloise, and Bournemouth are the only side to have taken three points off them in this competition.
The Milan game turned early. Mike Maignan was sent off after 27 minutes for a foul on Tyler Adams, Justin Kluivert and Marcus Tavernier both scored from the penalty spot before half-time, and Amine Adli bent in a free-kick on 84 minutes.
Kluivert’s goal had a neat bit of history to it. His father Patrick scored for Ajax against Milan in the 1995 Champions League final.
The league has been steadier than spectacular. Bournemouth had six points from their first seven Premier League games going into the Milan match, and they beat Sunderland 2-0 at home on 18 October.
Both penalties against Milan came in the first half, so the game was effectively over at the break. Bournemouth then played out the second half against ten men without conceding, their third European game in a row with one goal or fewer against them.
Celta Vigo are the next Europa League opponents after this one. Three more points in Prague would put Bournemouth on 12 with four league-phase games still to play.
Probable lineup Sparta Prague: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Bournemouth: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth
Our prediction: Bournemouth to win by two or more goals
Bournemouth to win at 1.22 is too short to bet, so I’m taking the handicap. They’ve won their three European games by 2-1, 3-0 and 3-0, and two of those margins would have landed this bet.
Sparta’s home form in the league is good, I accept that. But in Europe they’ve drawn at home with Lillestrøm and failed to score at Olympiacos, and the 2-0 home cup defeat to Baník came only eight days before this game.
Lillestrøm offer a useful comparison. They drew 1-1 in Prague in October and then lost 6-0 to Real Sociedad, the side Bournemouth beat away from home on the opening night.
Bournemouth have conceded once in three European matches and have scored at least twice in every one. I’d expect them to do both again in Prague and win by two.
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