- 1 Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: a 6-2 first meeting and a Vegas back-to-back
- 2 Pittsburgh Penguins: 4-1-1 at home and Karlsson running the offense from the blue line
- 3 Vegas Golden Knights: 1-3-1 in five games, with a 69% penalty kill
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: a 6-2 first meeting and a Vegas back-to-back 
Vegas beat Pittsburgh 6-2 at T-Mobile Arena on 17 October, with six different scorers: Mark Stone, Trevor Connelly, Theodore, Andersson, Brett Howden and Hanifin. Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin scored for the Penguins, and Adin Hill made 22 saves on 24 shots.
The rematch is on Tuesday 3 November at PPG Paints Arena, puck drop 7pm ET. Vegas is 9-5-1 with 19 points and second in the Pacific Division. Pittsburgh is 5-6-2 with 12 points and sixth in the Metropolitan, but it’s 4-1-1 at home.
The schedule is the main reason this game looks different from the first one. Vegas plays in Boston on Monday and flies to Pittsburgh for the second night of a back-to-back. The Penguins play in Montreal on Saturday and then have two days off.
Vegas has also cooled since that October win. The Golden Knights are 1-3-1 in their last five games, with a 6-2 home loss to Tampa Bay, a 6-2 defeat in St. Louis, a 2-1 overtime loss in Columbus and a 5-2 home loss to New Jersey on 30 October. The only win in that run was 4-1 against Ottawa.
The two meetings last season were split. Pittsburgh won 5-0 at home on 1 March 2026, with Arturs Silovs stopping all 22 shots, and Vegas won 6-2 at home on 12 March.
Silovs is still Pittsburgh’s main goaltender this season, and the Penguins were priced around 2.25 at home for that March game. We expect a similar price on Tuesday once the back-to-back is factored in.
Pittsburgh Penguins: 4-1-1 at home and Karlsson running the offense from the blue line 
Pittsburgh’s home results read better than its overall record. The Penguins beat Montreal 6-5 in overtime, Dallas in a shootout, Florida 4-0 and Nashville 3-2 in overtime at PPG Paints Arena. The losses were 3-2 to Winnipeg and 4-3 in overtime to Utah on 29 October.
Erik Karlsson leads the team with 13 points, on 2 goals and 11 assists. Malkin has 6 goals and 11 points, Nicholas Robertson has 6 goals, and Crosby has 7 points. Pittsburgh has scored 42 goals and allowed 43.
The season opened with a 7-0 win in Philadelphia on 30 September, and the scoring has been uneven since then. Pittsburgh has been held to two goals or fewer in five of its 13 games, but it has also shut out Florida 4-0 at home, and Malkin and Crosby were the two scorers in the October loss in Vegas.
Bryan Rust is out until around early December with a lower-body injury he picked up on 19 October. Under head coach Dan Muse, Thomas Novak moved up to the top line with Crosby and Rickard Rakell, and Novak has 8 points.
Silovs is 5-3-1 with a 2.98 goals-against average and an .889 save percentage. Sergei Murashov has lost all four of his appearances, going 0-3-1, and he was in goal for the 6-2 defeat in Vegas.
The penalty kill has stopped 84.38% of opposing power plays, a useful number against a Vegas unit converting at 27.27%. Justin Brazeau is expected back around 3 November and Trevor van Riemsdyk around 5 November, while Ryan Graves remains on injured reserve.
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Vegas Golden Knights: 1-3-1 in five games, with a 69% penalty kill 
Vegas’s penalty kill has stopped 69.44% of opposing chances, and it’s the main reason the Golden Knights have conceded six goals twice in their last five games. Their power play has been far better, at 27.27%.
Jack Eichel leads the team with 20 points, on 7 goals and 13 assists. Stone has 9 goals and 17 points, Mitch Marner 15 points, mostly assists, and Ivan Barbashev 11. Vegas has scored 52 and allowed 44 overall.
Ryan Craig took over as head coach in June after being promoted from the AHL to replace John Tortorella. His team started 8-2-0 before the current run of one win in five.
The goaltending has been close to level between the two options. Hill is 5-2-0 with a 2.84 goals-against average and an .891 save percentage, and Carter Hart is 4-3-1 at 2.76 and .889. Hart only returned as the backup on 30 October after a lower-body injury, so the back-to-back will likely be split between them.
On the road Vegas is 3-2-1, with wins in Vancouver, Seattle and Nashville. Defenseman Parker Wotherspoon is on injured reserve and isn’t expected back before 8 November.
Probable lineup Pittsburgh Penguins: Not announced at time of publication (Arturs Silovs has started 9 of 13 games in goal)
Probable lineup Vegas Golden Knights: Not announced at time of publication (second night of a back-to-back; Adin Hill or Carter Hart in goal)
Free NHL Prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights
Our prediction: Pittsburgh Penguins to win
We’re taking Pittsburgh. The Penguins are 4-1-1 at home and will have two days of rest, while Vegas plays the night before in Boston and has won once in five games with a penalty kill below 70%.
The seven-point gap in the standings and the 6-2 result in October count against the pick. That game was in Las Vegas with Murashov in goal, though, and Pittsburgh has lost once in regulation at home all season.
No line was available at the time of writing. With Vegas likely to be the road favorite on reputation, we expect Pittsburgh above 2.00, which is the price that makes the pick worth playing.
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