- 1 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: five days after the cup, the same two sides at Deutsche Bank Park
- 2 Eintracht Frankfurt: ten league goals, but most of them away from home
- 3 Hamburger SV: six players missing and three defeats in four away games
- 4 Free Bundesliga Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: five days after the cup, the same two sides at Deutsche Bank Park 
Frankfurt went to the Volksparkstadion on Tuesday night and won 3-1 in the second round of the DFB-Pokal. It was goalless at half-time, then Robin Koch scored on 56 minutes, Jonathan Burkardt added a second on 71 and the substitute Ebnoutalib made it three four minutes later, before Moffi pulled one back for Hamburg on 79.
Five days on, the two clubs meet again, this time in the Bundesliga and in Frankfurt. Kick-off is on Sunday 1 November at 16:30 UK time, the last game of matchday eight.
The league table makes this a closer contest than the cup score suggests. Frankfurt are 14th with eight points from seven games, two wins, two draws and three defeats, and a goal difference of minus seven. Hamburg are three places higher in 11th on nine points, with three wins and four defeats.
Recent league history also points the other way. Hamburg won 2-1 in Frankfurt on 2 May, coming from behind, and the meeting before that, in Hamburg last December, finished 1-1. Frankfurt’s last league win over HSV dates back to a 3-0 on 5 May 2018, before Hamburg’s long spell in the second division.
So the question here is which result tells us more: a league record that favours Hamburg, or a cup tie played this week by two squads that look almost exactly as they will on Sunday. I lean towards the second, and the reasons are mostly about who Hamburg can still put on the pitch.
Eintracht Frankfurt: ten league goals, but most of them away from home 
Adi Hütter’s side have been hard to read this season, because their results swing so far in both directions. They drew 3-3 at Union Berlin on the opening weekend, won 3-1 at Mainz in September, and then lost 6-0 at RB Leipzig on 10 October.
The home record is where the problem sits. Three league games at Deutsche Bank Park have produced one win, one draw and one defeat, with four goals scored and six conceded, and that defeat was a 4-1 against Augsburg on 6 September.
The trend has improved since the Leipzig defeat. Frankfurt beat Köln 1-0 at home on 16 October, lost by a single goal at Borussia Dortmund eight days later, and then scored three second-half goals in Hamburg on Tuesday. That’s three games with only two goals conceded, after 16 in the first five league matches.
Ebnoutalib has five goals this season and scored again off the bench in the cup, while Burkardt has three. Hütter has already said he will rotate across the two Hamburg fixtures, so either could start, and the depth to make changes without losing much is something Hamburg can’t match this week.
Brassier missed the cup tie with a knee problem but is expected to be available on Sunday, which would strengthen the back line and could push Collins, substituted early in the second half on Tuesday, out of the starting side.
Niko Ilicevic turns 16 on Saturday and could be in line for a Bundesliga debut, though Hütter’s choices up front will matter far more to the result.
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Hamburger SV: six players missing and three defeats in four away games 
Merlin Polzin’s team news is the main reason I’d back Frankfurt. Hamburg were already without their captain Remberg, who has a cruciate ligament tear, and on Tuesday they were also missing Vieira, Nadir, Capaldo, Torunarigha and Poulsen.
That list takes out more than just bodies. Poulsen and Capaldo have three goals between them this season, and Nadir and Poulsen were both injured during the 1-0 defeat at Paderborn on 24 October.
Bornauw then came off at half-time in the cup after a collision with the Frankfurt goalkeeper Atubolu. His status for Sunday hadn’t been confirmed when this preview was written, and it would leave Polzin short of yet another defender.
Hamburg’s away numbers make those absences harder to cover. Hamburg have played four league games on the road and lost three, scoring three goals and conceding ten. They lost 2-0 at Dortmund, 5-0 at Leipzig and 1-0 at Paderborn, and their only away win was a 3-2 at Hoffenheim on 10 October.
Hamburg had found some form before this week. They beat Köln 2-1 in September, won at Hoffenheim and then beat Stuttgart 1-0 at home on 17 October, three wins in a row. Six goals in seven league games is a thin return, though, and the defeats at Paderborn and at home in the cup have followed.
Polzin played Moffi up front alone on Tuesday, with Adeline and Grønbæk behind him. Moffi scored, but only after Frankfurt had gone three goals up, and he was replaced eight minutes from time.
Probable lineup Eintracht Frankfurt: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Hamburger SV: Not announced at time of publication
Free Bundesliga Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Our prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt to win @ 1.62
Frankfurt beat this same Hamburg side 3-1 on Tuesday, and the visitors arrive with six players missing, including two of their scorers and their captain. Hamburg have lost three of their four league away games and scored three goals in those four matches.
The case against is Frankfurt’s home form, one win from three at Deutsche Bank Park, and Hamburg’s 2-1 win there in May. Both are real, but the Hamburg squad that won in May had players who aren’t available now, and Frankfurt have conceded twice in their last three games after letting in 16 in their first five league matches.
At 1.62, I’d take the home win. Hütter can rotate and still field a stronger side than Polzin, and Tuesday showed how the game went once Frankfurt scored first.
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