- 1 Bologna vs Monza: no home win for one side, no away win for the other
- 2 Bologna: two away wins under Palladino, still waiting at the Dall’Ara and without Orsolini
- 3 Monza: Varela has seven goals, but one point from five away trips
- 4 Free Serie A Prediction: Bologna vs Monza
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
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Bologna vs Monza: no home win for one side, no away win for the other 
Bologna haven’t won a Serie A game at the Dall’Ara this season. Monza haven’t won one away from home. One of those runs ends on Saturday 31 October, when the two meet in Bologna with kick-off at 14:00 UK time, unless they share the points again.
At home Bologna have drawn 2-2 with Sassuolo and 1-1 with Torino and lost 3-1 to Inter, and they’re still looking for a first league win in front of their own supporters. Both of their league wins came on the road, 2-1 at Lecce and 2-0 at Cagliari last Saturday, which is an odd profile for a side that won the Coppa Italia final against Milan in 2025.
Monza’s away record is one draw and four defeats, with seven goals scored and 14 conceded. Six of their seven points have come at home, and the only point on their travels was a 1-1 draw at Parma. They came straight back up after relegation and are 15th, a point behind Bologna in 13th.
Both clubs have new coaches. Raffaele Palladino replaced Domenico Tedesco at Bologna and has two wins, a draw and a defeat from four games, while Ivan Juric has only just taken over at Monza. Both teams also play on Wednesday night, Bologna away at AC Milan and Monza at home to Napoli, so the table will have shifted before Saturday.
The head-to-head leans clearly one way. Bologna have won four of the seven meetings, including a 3-1 league win in January 2025 and a 4-0 Coppa Italia win in December 2024, and Monza’s only victory came at the Dall’Ara in February 2023. Bologna are 1.75, the draw is 3.50 and Monza are 4.75, and I’d take the home side.
Bologna: two away wins under Palladino, still waiting at the Dall’Ara and without Orsolini 
The 2-0 win at Cagliari on Saturday was Palladino’s best result so far. Nicolo Casale and Federico Bernardeschi scored in the second half, and it was the second away league win in a row after the 2-1 at Lecce on 11 October.
The home results tell a different tale. Bologna drew 2-2 with Sassuolo and 1-1 with Torino, then lost 3-1 to Inter on 17 October, conceding six goals across those three games. That’s three times as many as they let in at Napoli, Lecce and Cagliari combined, where they conceded two.
The injury list explains part of that. Riccardo Orsolini, Roberto Piccoli and Emil Holm are all out long term, and Orsolini and Piccoli had a league goal each before getting injured. Bernardeschi leads the side with two league goals, and Dovbyk, Casale and Enem have one apiece.
Palladino has settled on a 3-4-3. Skorupski is in goal behind Darmian, Casale and Theate, with Zortea and Miranda as wing-backs and Ferguson and Pobega in the middle. Bernardeschi and Odgaard play off the front, and Cambiaghi, who has two assists, completes the attack.
Palladino could also become the third Bologna coach to win his first three Serie A away games if they win at San Siro on Wednesday. The home record is the more pressing matter, and Monza, with the worst away defence of the two sides, are the right opponent to fix it against.
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Monza: Varela has seven goals, but one point from five away trips 
Gustavo Varela is the reason Monza are above the bottom three. He has seven league goals, joint top of the Serie A scoring chart, including two in the 4-0 home win over Cagliari on 19 October and the equaliser just after half-time in the 3-2 defeat at Torino four days later.
The Torino game followed a familiar away pattern. Monza scored twice and still lost, as they did at Lecce, 3-2, in September. They also lost 3-1 at Lazio, and across five away games they’ve conceded 2.8 goals per match.
Juric inherits a defence that’s short of bodies. Captain Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziolkowski are out, Yvan Maye is a doubt, and Idrissa Toure and Exequiel Zeballos have knee problems. That leaves a back three of Kouadio, Goglichidze and Carboni, with Birindelli and Mangas pushing on as wing-backs.
Behind Varela, Jay Robinson has two league goals and Dany Mota has two assists. Monza have reached the last 16 of the Coppa Italia, and at home they’ve taken six points from three games, beating Sassuolo 2-1 and Cagliari 4-0.
The last four league meetings produced two 0-0 draws and two Bologna wins, 2-1 in Monza in September 2024 and 3-1 in Bologna in January 2025, when Castro, Odgaard and Orsolini scored. Monza’s last win in this fixture was 1-0 at the Dall’Ara in February 2023, and there was no meeting last season while they were out of Serie A.
Probable lineup Bologna: Skorupski; Darmian, Casale, Theate; Zortea, Ferguson, Pobega, Miranda; Bernardeschi, Odgaard, Cambiaghi
Probable lineup Monza: Tornqvist; Kouadio, Goglichidze, Carboni; Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Ondoa, Mangas; Folorunsho, Robinson; Varela
Free Serie A Prediction: Bologna vs Monza
Our prediction: Bologna to win @ 1.75
Monza have one point from five away games and have conceded 14 goals on the road. Bologna have won four of the seven meetings between the clubs and have won their last two league games, both away from home.
I can’t ignore Bologna’s home record: no league win at the Dall’Ara yet, and without Orsolini and Piccoli the goals have dried up there. Varela, with seven, is the best striker on the pitch, and Monza have scored seven goals on their travels.
I’d still back Bologna to win at 1.75. Monza concede almost three goals per away match, Bologna kept a clean sheet at Cagliari last weekend, and the visitors arrive with a new coach, a stretched back line and a home game against Napoli three days earlier.
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