- 1 Lazio vs Cagliari: five straight wins for the leaders, three straight defeats for the visitors
- 2 Lazio: 22 goals in nine games, but Zaccagni and Diogo Leite finished Tuesday’s game hurting
- 3 Cagliari: 13 points from their first six games, none from the last three
- 4 Free Serie A Prediction: Lazio vs Cagliari
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Lazio vs Cagliari: five straight wins for the leaders, three straight defeats for the visitors 
Lazio scored six goals at Sassuolo on Tuesday and still missed two penalties. Taylor scored after two minutes, Isaksen and Floriani followed inside the first 16, Zaccagni added a fourth in first-half stoppage time and Noslin scored twice after the break, while Sassuolo goalkeeper Turati saved spot-kicks from Zaccagni and Frattesi.
The 6-2 win was Lazio’s fifth in a row in the league and took Gennaro Gattuso’s side top of Serie A with 25 points from nine games. They’re three points clear of Inter, who play at Venezia on Wednesday with a game in hand, and four ahead of Roma.
The context of that win matters. Sassuolo had Kristian Thorstvedt sent off on 31 minutes for a late challenge on Zaccagni, so Lazio played an hour against ten men. They were already 3-1 up by then, though, and the two goals they conceded came from an own goal and a strike by Esposito.
Cagliari come to the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 14:00 UK time, having lost their last three league games. They were beaten 4-0 at Monza on 19 October, 2-0 at home by Bologna on 24 October and 4-2 at Roma on Tuesday, conceding ten goals in the process.
Lazio have dominated this fixture. They’ve won nine of the last ten meetings, and Cagliari haven’t beaten them once in that run. The three most recent games all went Lazio’s way by two goals or fewer, the latest in November 2025.
The bookmakers have Lazio at around 1.41 on average, with the best price at 1.51, while the draw sits at 4.50 and a Cagliari win at about 7.39. Short as that is, I don’t see much in Cagliari’s last three weeks that argues for anything other than a home win.
Lazio: 22 goals in nine games, but Zaccagni and Diogo Leite finished Tuesday’s game hurting 
Gattuso’s side are unbeaten in the league, with eight wins and one draw, 22 goals scored and seven conceded. The winning run started with a 2-0 win at Venezia on 19 September and has included a 3-1 home win over Monza, a 3-0 win at Juventus and a 2-1 home win over Parma last Saturday.
The win in Turin on 18 October was Juventus’s heaviest home defeat of the season, and Lazio have scored eight goals in their two league games since.
Lazio have conceded in both of their last two home games, against Monza and Parma, which is the one soft spot in the numbers. A 2-1 win over Parma, who are in the bottom four, was closer than the table suggested it should be.
Two players need checking. Zaccagni carried on limping after Thorstvedt’s tackle, and Diogo Leite hurt a finger in the first half before going down again after a challenge with Domenico Berardi in the second. Albert Gudmundsson is out with a shoulder injury until late November, and Nicolò Rovella (calf), Samuel Gigot (back) and Furlanetto (cruciate ligament) are also unavailable.
At Sassuolo, Gattuso started Mandas in goal behind Floriani Mussolini, Sutalo, Diogo Leite and Tavares, with Frattesi, Belahyane and Taylor in midfield and Isaksen, Noslin and Zaccagni in attack. Taylor was booked and replaced at half-time by Dele-Bashiru, and Andrea Pinamonti came on for Noslin with 19 minutes left.
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Cagliari: 13 points from their first six games, none from the last three 
Fabio Pisacane’s side started the season well. After six league games they had four wins, a draw and a defeat, with six goals scored and three conceded, and they’d won away at Parma, Atalanta and Udinese, the last of those 1-0 on 19 September.
The 1-1 home draw with Juventus on 11 October was the last time they took a point. Since then they’ve scored two goals and conceded ten, and both of those goals came on Tuesday in Rome, after 180 minutes without one against Monza and Bologna.
That leaves Cagliari ninth with 13 points and a goal difference of minus five. Their away form had been their strength, with three wins from their first four league trips, but the last two have ended 4-0 and 4-2 against them.
The squad is thin in places. Mattia Felici tore a cruciate ligament and isn’t expected back before March, Riyad Idrissi is only now coming back from the same injury, and Harry Winks has been dealing with lower back pain. Winks went off with it against Bologna.
Recovery time is another problem. Cagliari played in Rome on Tuesday night and return to the same city five days later, while Lazio also played on Tuesday but did so with an extra man for an hour and could make changes in the second half with the game already won.
Probable lineup Lazio: Mandas; Floriani Mussolini, Sutalo, Diogo Leite, Tavares; Frattesi, Belahyane, Taylor; Isaksen, Noslin, Zaccagni
Probable lineup Cagliari: Caprile; Zé Pedro, Juan Rodríguez, Mina, Sugawara, Obert; Romano, Adopo, Deiola; Nzola, Fadera
Free Serie A Prediction: Lazio vs Cagliari
Our prediction: Lazio to win (1.51)
Lazio have won five league games in a row, scoring 16 goals in that run, and they’ve beaten Cagliari in nine of the last ten meetings. Cagliari have lost three straight and conceded ten goals in those games.
The average price of 1.41 is short, and Lazio did concede in both of their last two home games, so a clean sheet isn’t something we’d build a bet on. The best available 1.51 on a straight home win is where the value sits for us.
A Cagliari side that has gone from four wins in six to three defeats in a row, with Winks struggling and two players out with cruciate ligament injuries, has given little reason to expect a result at the Olimpico. Lazio to win.
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