- 1 St Mirren vs Hibernian: the bottom side visit a ground where they’ve been unbeaten in recent meetings
- 2 St Mirren: one win ends a five-game losing run, and the defence still ranks among the league’s worst
- 3 Hibernian: ten league goals all season, but every Reedijk defeat by one
- 4 Free Football Prediction: St Mirren vs Hibernian
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
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St Mirren vs Hibernian: the bottom side visit a ground where they’ve been unbeaten in recent meetings 
Marink Reedijk has lost all three of his matches as Hibernian head coach, each of them by a single goal. Dundee United won 1-0, Falkirk won 2-1 at Easter Road, and Celtic came from behind to win 2-1 there on Sunday.
Hibs are bottom of the Scottish Premiership with seven points from ten games and haven’t won a league match since August. David Gray was dismissed during that run, and interim coach John Potter drew 1-1 with Aberdeen before Reedijk arrived.
St Mirren were in a slide of their own until Saturday. Craig McLeish’s side had lost five straight league games, conceding 14 goals, before beating Dundee 2-1 in Paisley. That win lifted them to sixth on 13 points, six clear of their visitors.
Recent meetings have gone Hibernian’s way: Hibs are unbeaten in their last five meetings with St Mirren and have won the last two.
Kick-off on Wednesday 28 October is 19:45 UK time. Both clubs have something to manage around it: Hibs face Hearts in the League Cup semi-final at Hampden on Sunday, and St Mirren are trying to build on a first win in six league games.
We think the table exaggerates the gap between these sides. Hibs’ last six league games read 2-1 to St Johnstone, 1-0 to Kilmarnock, 1-1 with Aberdeen, 1-0 at Dundee United, then 2-1 against Falkirk and Celtic. All five defeats were by a single goal, and St Mirren’s defence was conceding almost three a game until the weekend.
St Mirren: one win ends a five-game losing run, and the defence still ranks among the league’s worst 
The losing run read 2-1 at home to Celtic, 1-0 at Rangers, 3-0 at home to Dundee United, 5-0 at Hearts and 3-1 at Aberdeen. Two goals scored, 14 conceded, and a defensive record that is still joint-second-worst in the division.
Saturday’s win over Dundee came through two wide players. Calvin Ramsay, on loan since the summer, scored his first goal for the club on 20 minutes after Eseosa Sule broke down the right and crossed. Sule then headed in a Killian Phillips cross on 57 minutes.
Dundee pulled one back through Bradley Fink on 73 minutes, after Jacob Chapman had saved his first effort, and Ashley Hay headed narrowly wide from close range. McLeish said afterwards he was “delighted for the group” and that the players “probably needed something like that”.
Home results have kept St Mirren in the top half. Seven of their 13 points have come in Paisley, which leaves six from their away games. Against Dundee, Ismeal Kabia had an early shot held by Owen Goodman, and Goodman also spilled a Ramsay header from a free-kick before the ball was cleared.
Nikolas Agrafiotis, Malik Dijksteel, Keanu Baccus and Jonah Ayunga are all out, so McLeish is expected to stay with a back three of Fraser, Gogic and Fieldson behind Ramsay and Phillips.
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Hibernian: ten league goals all season, but every Reedijk defeat by one 
Hibs have scored ten league goals in ten games, the joint-lowest total in the division, and only five in their last seven matches, which is the clearest reason they’re bottom. Their last win in any competition was a 3-0 League Cup victory at Ross County, and they’ve gone five games without one since.
Owen Elding has scored in back-to-back matches, against Falkirk and again after three minutes on Sunday, converting a quick free-kick from Joe Newell to put Hibs ahead of Celtic. Jason Kerr’s own goal two minutes later and a Camilo Duran finish before half-time turned the game.
The rest of Sunday told the same story as the season. Thibault Klidje sent a one-on-one chance over the bar, and Grant Hanley finished the game playing up front. Kris Boyd said afterwards that Hibs were “miles off it”.
None of Hibs’ league wins have come at Easter Road, where they’ve played six times this season without winning. Both of their victories have come on the road, which matters for a midweek trip to Paisley.
Reedijk has five players out or doubtful: Callum Wright, Nathan Lowe, Kanayochukwu Megwa, Rocky Bushiri and Jordan Obita. Raphael Sallinger is expected to keep his place in goal, with Elding again leading the line.
Probable lineup St Mirren: Chapman; Fraser, Gogic, Fieldson; Ramsay, Carr, Phillips, John; Thomas, Sule, Kabia
Probable lineup Hibernian: Sallinger; Passlack, Kerr, Ivezic, Mayor; Chaiwa, Newell; Suto, McGrath, Matondo; Elding
Free Football Prediction: St Mirren vs Hibernian
Our prediction: Hibernian or draw (double chance X2)
Hibs are unbeaten in five against St Mirren, both of their league wins this season have come away from home, and each of Reedijk’s three defeats has been by a single goal, two of them against Celtic and a Falkirk side now seventh.
The case for St Mirren rests on Saturday’s win and on their home points, seven of their 13. Their defence conceded 14 in the five games before that, though, and one result against Dundee doesn’t change a joint-second-worst record.
We wouldn’t back Hibs to win outright with ten league goals all season. A side that has lost five of its last six league games by one goal needs only a small shift to come away with something, and Hibs have taken at least a point from each of their last five meetings with St Mirren. Hibernian or the draw is the pick, with 1-1 the likeliest score.
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