- 1 Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets: 24 goals in 13 games for Philadelphia, two road games all season for Columbus
- 2 Philadelphia Flyers: 42 goals against, and three straight wins undone by a five-goal Ducks spell
- 3 Columbus Blue Jackets: a 1-0 and a 2-1 in overtime among four wins
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets: 24 goals in 13 games for Philadelphia, two road games all season for Columbus 
The Philadelphia Flyers went nine games without a win to start the season. The run opened with a 7-0 home defeat to Pittsburgh on 30 September and ran through to a 2-1 loss in Detroit on 15 October, with three of those nine defeats coming in overtime or a shootout.
The Philadelphia Flyers then won three in a row, 3-1 against Ottawa, 3-2 against Colorado and 3-1 in Buffalo, before Anaheim beat them 5-4 at home on Saturday. That leaves them 3-7-3 with nine points going into Tuesday 27 October, when Columbus visit for a 7:00pm ET puck drop.
Columbus are 4-5-0 after nine games. They’ve played seven of their nine games at home, and they come into this one off a 2-1 overtime win over Vegas on Saturday. Their only two road games so far ended in defeat, 5-3 in St. Louis and 2-1 in Minnesota.
Goals have been hard to find on both sides. Philadelphia have scored 24 in 13 games, 1.85 per night, and they’ve reached four only once, in Saturday’s loss. Columbus have 22 in nine, and eight of their nine games have seen them score three or fewer.
The prediction market had almost nothing between the teams on Monday morning, with Columbus around 1.89 and Philadelphia around 2.08. The total was set at 5.5, with the Under at about 1.89, and that’s the line we’re interested in for a game between two teams that both average fewer than 2.5 goals per game this season.
Philadelphia Flyers: 42 goals against, and three straight wins undone by a five-goal Ducks spell 
Matvei Michkov scored twice against Anaheim, once on the power play in the first period and again at 8:17 of the third. Matt Martone added another power-play goal and Tyson Foerster scored shorthanded, so all four Philadelphia goals came with someone in the box or from Michkov.
The trouble was the 30 minutes in between. Anaheim scored five times between 8:38 of the second period and 7:10 of the third, through Leo Carlsson, Alex Greer, Cutter Caulfield, Tristan Luneau and Beckett Sennecke. Joseph Woll stopped 21 of the 26 shots he faced.
That defeat pushed the Flyers’ goals against to 42 in 13 games, 3.2 per game. Take out the 7-0 opener and the 5-4 on Saturday, though, and they’ve allowed 30 in 11, and three or fewer in eight of those 11.
Their home record is 2-3-2 from seven games in Philadelphia. Both home wins came during the three-game streak, against Ottawa and Colorado, and the home defeats include the Pittsburgh rout and two one-goal losses to Carolina and Seattle that went past regulation.
The scoring problem runs through the whole season. Philadelphia scored two or fewer in each of their first nine games and have managed three or more only four times. Ten of their 13 games have finished with five goals or fewer in total.
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Columbus Blue Jackets: a 1-0 and a 2-1 in overtime among four wins 
Two of Columbus’s four wins came in overtime by a single goal: 1-0 against the Rangers on 17 October and 2-1 against Vegas on Saturday. A third, 3-2 against Pittsburgh on 9 October, needed a shootout. Only the 6-3 opener against Buffalo was comfortable.
Columbus’s five losses have been heavier than the wins. They went down 7-3 at home to Florida, 6-2 to Toronto and 4-1 to Utah, and those three games account for 17 of the 30 goals they’ve allowed this season.
After scoring six against Buffalo, the Blue Jackets have scored 16 goals in eight games, exactly two per game. They’ve been held to one goal three times in that stretch.
Columbus have played only twice away from Nationwide Arena, losing 5-3 in St. Louis and 2-1 in Minnesota. Tuesday is their third road game in 10, and the first since the 2-1 defeat at the Xcel Energy Center on 18 October. In those two road games they scored four goals in total.
The Vegas win came against a team on a losing run, and Columbus needed overtime to beat a Golden Knights side that had allowed 12 goals in its two previous games. It was a low-event game, three goals in more than 60 minutes, and the second time in five games that Columbus had needed overtime to win one.
Probable lineup Philadelphia Flyers: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Columbus Blue Jackets: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Our prediction: Under 5.5 goals (around 1.89)
Philadelphia average 1.85 goals a game and Columbus have averaged two since their opening night. Ten of the Flyers’ 13 games have finished with five goals or fewer, and three of Columbus’s last five games produced three goals or fewer.
Saturday’s 5-4 loss to Anaheim is the result that argues against us, and Columbus have conceded seven and six at home in two of their heavier defeats. We’d weigh the Flyers’ season-long scoring rate more heavily than one bad half-hour against the Ducks.
At around 1.89 for Under 5.5, the price fits two teams who’ve combined for 46 goals in 22 games, an average of 2.1 per team per game. Both goaltending numbers have been poor at times, but neither attack has given us a reason to expect a run of goals on Tuesday, so we’re backing the Under.
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