- 1 AC Milan vs Atalanta: an unbeaten new coach against Milan’s oldest headache
- 2 AC Milan: three home league games, three chances to build a fortress
- 3 Atalanta: a long injury list and a tough run of away trips
- 4 Free Serie A Prediction: AC Milan vs Atalanta
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
AC Milan vs Atalanta: an unbeaten new coach against Milan’s oldest headache 
Ruben Amorim hasn’t lost a Serie A game since taking charge of AC Milan. Atalanta, on the other hand, have won four of their last five visits to San Siro across league and cup. Something has to give on Sunday evening, kick-off 18:00 Paris time, in round seven of Serie A.
Both clubs arrive off the back of good European nights. Milan travelled to Austria on Thursday and thrashed RB Salzburg 4-0 in the Europa League, with 19-year-old Alphadjo Cisse scoring a hat-trick: one with his right foot, one with his left, one with his head. Atalanta opened their Conference League campaign a few hundred kilometres away in Bergamo, beating Pafos 3-1.
The league table tells a quieter story. Milan sit fifth on 12 points from six games, not far behind leaders and city rivals Inter. Atalanta have nine, and they’ve spent most of the autumn trying to stop a slide that included three straight defeats before the international break.
There’s a nice bit of history on the line for Amorim too. If Milan avoid defeat, he’ll become the first Rossoneri coach since 1963 to go unbeaten through his first seven top-flight matches. The only blemish on his record so far is a 2-0 home loss to Benfica, his former club, on Europa League matchday one.
So what decides this one? Fatigue, mainly. Both squads played on Thursday, both coaches are expected to rotate, and Atalanta’s treatment room is far fuller than Milan’s. That imbalance is where our reading starts.
AC Milan: three home league games, three chances to build a fortress 
Milan’s last two Serie A home games ended 2-0 against Venezia and 3-0 against Lecce. Two clean sheets, five goals scored, no real scares. A third straight home league win would be their first such run in the 2026 calendar year, which tells you how uneven San Siro had become before Amorim arrived.
Away from home, it’s been patchier. Draws at Juventus (1-1), Lazio (2-2) and Sassuolo (1-1) mean Milan have dropped six points they’d have liked to keep. Last weekend’s draw at Sassuolo stung a little. That ground has become a bogey trip for them.
The Salzburg win changed the mood, though. Cisse’s hat-trick has opened a real selection debate behind Goncalo Ramos, with Christian Pulisic, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Omari Hutchinson and Diego Moreira all pushing for minutes. Teenager Francesco Camarda, who started in Austria, is expected to drop out.
Injuries aren’t a big worry. Matteo Gabbia and Alexis Saelemaekers are out until next year, and Samuel Chukwueze and Pervis Estupinan carry some doubt, but Amorim should have most of his first choices available. Filippo Terracciano’s red card in Salzburg only affects next week’s European trip to Bournemouth.
The one stat that should worry Milan fans is the head-to-head. They’ve won none of their last six league meetings with Atalanta and taken a single point from the last four. That’s a habit, not a coincidence. Amorim’s job is to make sure it doesn’t become a curse.
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Atalanta: a long injury list and a tough run of away trips 
Three defeats in a row. That’s how Atalanta went into the international break, losing 2-1 at Roma, 2-1 at home to Cagliari and 2-0 at Juventus. Maurizio Sarri needed the reset, and he got it.
Since then, it’s been two wins in four days. Nikola Krstovic was involved in all three goals in Monday’s 3-1 win over Venezia, scoring twice and setting up the third. Then Eljif Elmas scored inside the first minute against Pafos on Thursday, making amends for the red card he’d picked up against Venezia.
That red card matters here, because Elmas is suspended for Sunday. He isn’t the only absentee either. Odilon Kossounou, Kamaldeen Sulemana and Isak Hien are all injured, Giorgio Scalvini is reported out, and Giacomo Raspadori and Franck Kessie are struggling to make it. Raoul Bellanova also picked up a knock. That’s a lot of missing experience for a trip to San Siro.
Up front, Sarri at least has a decision to make. Krstovic has earned his place, but Gianluca Scamacca scored against Pafos and remains a genuine option. Charles De Ketelaere should support whoever starts.
And then there’s the travel. Atalanta have lost their last two away league games, at Roma and Juventus, and straight after Milan they fly to Amsterdam to face Ajax. Can they really raise themselves for three big games in a week with this squad? It’s a lot to ask.
Probable lineup AC Milan: Maignan; Gila, De Winter, Pavlovic; Chukwueze, Modric, Rabiot, Estupinan; Pulisic, Cisse; Ramos
Probable lineup Atalanta: Carnesecchi; Bellanova, Kristensen, Kolasinac, Bernasconi; Ederson, Gaetano, Pasalic; De Ketelaere, Krstovic, Rowe
Free Serie A Prediction: AC Milan vs Atalanta
Our prediction: AC Milan to win (odds 1.83)
The head-to-head points one way and the team sheets point the other, and we’ll side with the team sheets. Atalanta could be without Elmas, Kossounou, Hien, Sulemana, Scalvini and possibly Kessie and Raspadori, and that’s before you factor in a Thursday game and a trip to Amsterdam next.
Milan aren’t the finished article yet. But they’ve kept clean sheets in their last two home league games, they’ve found a new attacking spark in Cisse, and their coach is one result away from a record that hasn’t been matched in more than 60 years. That’s a side with momentum.
At 1.83, a home win offers fair value. Atalanta’s San Siro record deserves respect, so we wouldn’t go overboard on the stake, but Milan have the deeper squad on the day and should edge it.
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