- 1 RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: two clean-sheet wins against a defence that keeps leaking
- 2 RB Leipzig: no goals conceded in their wins, but missing bodies in midfield
- 3 Eintracht Frankfurt: goals everywhere, at both ends
- 4 Free Bundesliga Prediction: RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt: two clean-sheet wins against a defence that keeps leaking 
Ten goals conceded in four Bundesliga games. That’s Eintracht Frankfurt’s defensive record coming out of the international break, and it’s the number RB Leipzig will have circled before Saturday’s meeting in Saxony.
The two sides sit next to each other in the table. Leipzig are ninth on six points, Frankfurt tenth on five. On paper that looks like a coin toss. Dig a little deeper and the picture changes.
Leipzig’s season has been all or nothing. Two wins, both without conceding: 3-0 at home to Borussia Monchengladbach and 5-0 against Hamburg. Two defeats, both on the road, at Werder Bremen and at Bayer Leverkusen. There’s been very little in between.
Frankfurt are the opposite. Hardly anything is clean with them. A 4-1 hammering by Augsburg, a 3-1 win at Mainz, a wild 3-3 at Union Berlin and a 2-2 with Freiburg before the break. Goals at both ends, every single week.
Kick-off is at 18:30 Paris time on Saturday 10 October, on matchday five of the Bundesliga. Leipzig haven’t dropped a point at home in the league yet. Frankfurt haven’t lost away from home.
So which side of Leipzig turns up? The one that blanked Gladbach and Hamburg, or the one that got carved open at Bremen? With home advantage, the evidence points clearly one way.
RB Leipzig: no goals conceded in their wins, but missing bodies in midfield 
The last time Leipzig played, it got away from them in ten minutes. Christopher Nkunku had the ball in the net at Leverkusen on 34 minutes, the flag went up for offside, and Patrik Schick headed the hosts in front just before half-time. Miguel Gutierrez added a second on the counter. A 2-0 defeat that felt closer than the score.
That’s the frustrating side of Martin Demichelis’s team. Away from home they’ve lost twice in the league, and the 4-1 defeat at Como on Champions League matchday one doesn’t bear close inspection either.
When they’ve won, though, they’ve been a different side altogether. Eight goals scored, none conceded across those two victories. That’s the version Frankfurt have to deal with on Saturday.
The squad isn’t at full strength. Winger Gruda came off injured at Leverkusen and is a doubt, joining Baumgartner, summer signing Guiu, German midfielder Ouedraogo and Rocco Reitz, who arrived from Gladbach this summer, on the sidelines. That’s a lot of midfield creativity missing at once.
There’s still plenty to work with. Nkunku is available after returning to the club following spells at Chelsea and AC Milan, Norway international Nusa has two goals and two assists, and Tidiam Gomis has a goal and two assists. Ridley Baku has already matched last season’s league tally of two goals in just four appearances, after needing 32 games to get there last time. Seiwald and El Aynaoui, on loan from Roma, both played for their countries over the break.
Depth will be tested. Quality won’t be the issue at home.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Eintracht Frankfurt: goals everywhere, at both ends 
Younes Ebnoutalib has four league goals and an assist, and he’s the joint top scorer in the Bundesliga. He’s also just chosen Germany over Morocco and was called up by Jurgen Klopp during the international window. Frankfurt’s attack has a new star, and he isn’t alone.
Jonathan Burkardt has three goals after scoring 12 last season, and Turkish international Can Uzun has two. That’s seven goals between Ebnoutalib and Burkardt in four games. Back in mid-September, Frankfurt had already scored 26 times in four matches across all competitions. Scoring has never been their problem.
Keeping the ball out is a different matter. Against Freiburg, Frankfurt led twice and still drew 2-2, which made it six straight home games conceding at least two goals. Augsburg put four past them. Union Berlin, who are struggling near the bottom, scored three. There’s no sugarcoating it: this back line concedes too easily.
The away form is a little better, with a 3-1 win at Mainz and that 3-3 in Berlin. Unbeaten on the road in the league, then. But both of those games were thrillers rather than controlled performances.
On the injury front, Algerian international Chaibi missed the Freiburg game through illness but has recovered and should start. He had two goals and nine assists last season. Maluze and the long-term absentee Ngankam remain doubtful.
Can Frankfurt outscore Leipzig on their own ground? They’ll create chances. They’ll probably give up more.
Probable lineup RB Leipzig: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Eintracht Frankfurt: Not announced at time of publication
Free Bundesliga Prediction: RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Our prediction: RB Leipzig to win @ 1.50
Leipzig’s wins this season have been emphatic: eight goals scored, none conceded, including a 3-0 at home to Gladbach. Frankfurt arrive having let in ten goals in four league games, with a run of six home games conceding twice or more that shows how loose they are at the back. That gap in defensive solidity is the deciding factor.
Frankfurt will score, probably. Ebnoutalib and Burkardt are in form, and Leipzig’s midfield is short of bodies. But Leipzig have the attacking depth with Nkunku, Nusa, Baku and Gomis to punish a defence that rarely holds firm for 90 minutes, and they’ve already shown what they do to weaker back lines.
We’re backing the home side to get back to winning ways in front of their own fans. RB Leipzig to win at 1.50.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses, that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of RB Leipzig and Eintracht Frankfurt on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply