Top NBA UNDER trends for February 4, 2026

The most relevant NBA player “UNDER” trends to pick (!) — flagged by our AI and model — ahead of the night of Feb 04, 2026:

⚠️: These are AI-driven leads for your analysis. Use them as a starting point — check minutes, health and off-court issues and the projected minutes from our model to back your NBA calls.

🔎: Pick from this tight selection for singles (priority) or parlays. This is the step before our Pick of the Day!

💡: We update trends all day long — hit F5 to refresh.

🧪: Wondering what the badges mean? Simple. See the legend below. Each badge lines up, in order, with its bullet point and flags a detected trend in that area.

Example: If a player has 4 badges or more, that’s a TOP TREND — trends overlap and the green lights are on.

means current form

means home form

means away form

means form vs opponent

means opponent defense

means injury/absence opportunity

S. Merrill @ LAC : UNDER 2.5 Rebounds

Odds: 1.94 – -106 – 47/50

• Under in 6 of his last 7 games: 86%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 road games: 75%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 vs LAC: 75%
• The Clippers are the 4th BEST DEFENSE for rebounds allowed
• The Clippers are the 2nd BEST DEFENSE for rebounds allowed at home
• The Clippers are the 3rd BEST DEFENSE for rebounds allowed over the last 3 games
• The Clippers are the 5th BEST DEFENSE for rebounds allowed against his position

A. Sengun v BOS — UNDER 21.5 points

Odds: 1.95 – -105 – 19/20

• Under in 7 of his last 9 games: 78%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 home games: 80%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 games vs BOS: 80%
• The Celtics are the 2nd-best defense in the league
• The Celtics are the 2nd-best defense on the road
• The Celtics have been the best defense over the last 3 games

N. Queta @ HOU — UNDER 10.5 points

Odds: 1.87 – -115 – 87/100

• Under in 5 of his last 6 games: 83%
• Under in his last 4 away games: 100%
• Under in his last 4 games vs HOU: 100%
• The Rockets are the 4th-best defense in the league
• The Rockets are the 3rd-best defense at home
• The Rockets are the 3rd-best defense over the last 3 games

A. Sengun v BOS — UNDER 22.5 points

Odds: 1.83 – -120 – 83/100

• Under in 7 of his last 9 games: 78%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 home games: 80%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 games vs BOS: 80%
• The Celtics are the 2nd-best defense in the league
• The Celtics are the 2nd-best defense on the road
• The Celtics have been the best defense over the last 3 games

N. Jokic @ NYK : UNDER 8.5 Assists

Odds : 1.78 – -128 – 39/50

• Under in his last 4 games: 100%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 vs NYK: 75%
• Knicks are the 4th BEST at limiting opponent assists
• Knicks are the 5th BEST at limiting opponent assists at home
• Knicks are the 2nd BEST at limiting opponent assists over their last 3 games
• Knicks are the 2nd BEST at limiting assists against his position

M. Bridges vs DEN : UNDER 3.5 Rebounds

Odds : 1.94 – -106 – 47/50

• Under in 5 of his last 6 games: 83%
• Under in 5 of his last 6 home games: 83%
• Under in his last 4 games vs DEN: 100%
• Nuggets are the 5th BEST at limiting rebounds on the road
• Nuggets are the 3rd BEST at limiting rebounds against his position

V. Wembanyama vs OKC : UNDER 2.5 Assists

Odds : 1.87 – -115 – 87/100

• Under in 10 of his last 13 games: 77%
• Under in 6 of his last 7 home games: 86%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 vs OKC: 80%
• Thunder are the 5th BEST at limiting opponent assists
• Thunder are the 5th BEST at limiting opponent assists on the road

C. Wallace @ SAS : UNDER 1.5 Three-pointers Made

Odds: 1.83 – -120 – 83/100

• Under in 3 of his last 4 games: 75%
• Under in 7 of his last 10 away games: 70%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 games vs SAS: 75%
• Spurs are the 4th BEST DEFENSE for three-pointers allowed over the last 3 games

P. Watson @ NYK: UNDER 4.5 Rebounds

Odds: 2.15 – +115 – 23/20

• Under in 4 of his last 5 games: 80%
• Under in his last 4 games vs NYK: 100%
• Knicks are the 5th BEST DEFENSE in rebounds allowed
• Knicks are the 5th BEST DEFENSE in rebounds allowed at home

C. Wallace @ SAS: UNDER 13.5 Points+Assists+Rebounds

Odds: 1.87 – -115 – 87/100

• Under in 12 of his last 16 games: 75%
• Under in 12 of his last 15 away games: 80%
• Under in his last 4 games vs SAS: 100%
• Spurs are the 5th BEST DEFENSE in points allowed against his position

D. Wade @ LAC: UNDER 6.5 Points

Odds: 1.88 – -114 – 22/25

• Under in 8 of his last 10 games: 80%
• Under in 8 of his last 10 away games: 80%
• Under in his last 4 games vs LAC: 100%
• Clippers are the 4th BEST DEFENSE in points allowed against his position

C. Holmgren @ SAS : UNDER 1.5 3-pointers

Odds : 1.84 – -119 – 21/25

• Has gone UNDER in his last 5 games: 100%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 away games: 80%
• Under in his last 4 games vs SAS: 100%
• Spurs are the 4th BEST DEFENSE for 3s allowed over the last 3 games

S. Gilgeous-Alexander @ SAS : UNDER 1.5 3-pointers

Odds : 1.75 – -133 – 3/4

• Has gone UNDER in his last 6 games: 100%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 away games: 75%
• Under in his last 4 games vs SAS: 100%
• Spurs are the 4th BEST DEFENSE for 3s allowed over the last 3 games

C. Holmgren @ SAS : UNDER 17.5 Points

Odds : 1.83 – -120 – 83/100

• Under in 4 of his last 5 games: 80%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 away games: 80%
• Under in his last 4 games vs SAS: 100%
• Spurs rank 4th in the league defensively over the last 3 games

A. Sengun vs BOS : UNDER 37.5 PTS+AST+REB

Odds : 1.94 – -106 – 47/50

• Under in 3 of his last 4 games: 75%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 games vs BOS: 80%
• The Celtics are the 3rd-best defense at limiting rebounds at his position
• The Celtics are the 3rd-best defense in allowing assists to his position

J. Hart vs DEN: UNDER 7.5 Rebounds

Odds: 1.69 – -145 – 69/100

• Under in his last 4 games: 100%
• Under in his last 4 games vs DEN: 100%
• The Nuggets are the 5th-best defense in rebounds allowed on the road

J. Champagnie vs OKC: UNDER 2.5 3PT Made

Odds: 1.84 – -119 – 21/25

• Under in 3 of his last 4 games: 75%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 home games: 75%
• Under in 9 of his last 10 games vs OKC: 90%

V. Wembanyama vs OKC: UNDER 35.5 Points+Assists+Rebounds

Odds: 1.94 – -106 – 47/50

• Under in 3 of his last 4 games: 75%
• Under in his last 5 games vs OKC: 100%
• The Thunder are the 4th-best defense in points allowed to his position

D. White @ HOU: UNDER 4.5 Rebounds

Odds: 1.81 – -123 – 81/100

• Under in 4 of his last 5 games: 80%
• Under in 3 of his last 4 games vs HOU: 75%
• The Rockets are the 3rd-best defense in rebounds allowed

C. Holmgren @ SAS: UNDER 27.5 PTS+AST+REB

Odds: 1.94 – -106 – 47/50

• Under in 4 of his last 5 games: 80%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 away games: 80%
• Under in his last 6 games vs SAS: 100%

V. Wembanyama vs OKC: UNDER 10.5 REB

Odds: 2.06 – +106 – 53/50

• Under in 9 of his last 12 games: 75%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 home games: 80%
• Under in 4 of his last 5 games vs OKC: 80%

See our other Mathodds cheat sheets for more NBA trends