- 1 Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion: the league’s sharpest attack visits a side that has never scored against them
- 2 Sunderland: ten conceded in five games and a top scorer nursing a thigh injury
- 3 Brighton & Hove Albion: 23 goals in seven matches despite a long injury list
- 4 Free Premier League Prediction: Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion: the league’s sharpest attack visits a side that has never scored against them 
Sixteen goals in five Premier League games. Brighton have never started a top-flight season like this, and no team in the division has scored more.
Sunderland have the opposite problem in this fixture. They failed to score in either of their two Premier League meetings with Brighton, a 0-0 at the Amex in December 2025 and a 1-0 home defeat in March 2026.
The match is on Saturday 10 October at the Stadium of Light, with kick-off at 16:00 Paris time (15:00 UK). It is the first game back after the international break for both clubs.
The table separates them clearly. Brighton are third on 10 points with a +11 goal difference, while Sunderland sit 14th on four points with a goal difference of -4.
Brighton went into the break on the back of a 5-0 win at Coventry and a 3-0 home win over Arsenal, two clean sheets in a row. Sunderland went in having lost 2-0 at home to Arsenal and 5-3 at Manchester City.
Break down the numbers and a clear edge emerges for the visitors. The market makes Brighton slight favourites at around 2.40, and on this evidence that price leans generous.
The international break interrupts Brighton at the worst moment, right in the middle of the most fluent run in the division. Whether that rhythm survives two weeks away is the one real unknown here.
Sunderland: ten conceded in five games and a top scorer nursing a thigh injury 
Winless in three, and conceding in every one of them. Sunderland’s last three league games produced a 1-1 draw at Brentford, the 2-0 home defeat by Arsenal and the eight-goal loss at the Etihad.
The Europa League has added a heavier schedule, even if the 1-0 win over AZ Alkmaar was a historic night for the club. One league win in five is the cost so far, a 1-0 home victory over Fulham in late August.
Ten goals against in five games is the figure that matters. Sunderland matches are averaging 3.20 goals, a long way from the side that kept seven home clean sheets on the way to seventh place last season.
The injury list does not help. Dan Ballard is out, Romaine Mundle is sidelined for a few months, Habib Diarra is still working back to fitness, and Brian Brobbey picked up a thigh problem with the Netherlands.
Brobbey is the one that hurts. He has three goals in just over 400 minutes, and without him the supply line runs almost entirely through Enzo Le Fee, who has created eight chances.
The Stadium of Light still carries weight. Nine home wins from 19 last season is a respectable return, and this crowd will demand a reaction after five goals conceded in Manchester.
The trouble is the matchup. Sunderland have played Brighton twice in the Premier League and found the net zero times, and this Brighton side is sharper than either of those two.
Granit Xhaka sets the tempo in midfield, and Sunderland have shown they can turn games into a scrap. Against a Brighton side that wants the ball and moves it quickly, that approach makes for uncomfortable reading if the first goal goes the wrong way.
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Brighton & Hove Albion: 23 goals in seven matches despite a long injury list 
Brighton travel without a long list of players. Yankuba Minteh, Stefanos Tzimas and Evan Ferguson are unavailable, Kaoru Mitoma has not played yet this season, and Lewis Dunk and Yasin Ayari face late fitness tests.
None of that has slowed the goals. Since a 0-0 draw at Tromso in the Conference League play-off round, Brighton have scored 23 times in seven matches across all competitions.
The league run tells the same story: 4-0 against Aston Villa, a 4-3 defeat at Chelsea, 1-1 with Leeds, then 5-0 at Coventry and 3-0 against Arsenal. Pascal Gross, Charalampos Kostoulas and Chema Andres scored against the champions.
Kostoulas has two league goals from 13 shots, the same tally as Malick Yalcouye. Goals come from everywhere in this team, which makes them very hard to plan for.
Defensively, three clean sheets in five games is the joint-best record in the league. Brighton have also scored in every league game this season.
They showed character in the EFL Cup too, coming from 2-0 down to beat Manchester United. A side that knows what it’s about.
The one caveat is travel. Brighton won four of their last ten Premier League away games and lost five, so this is not a team that dominates every ground it visits.
Probable lineup Sunderland: Roefs; Mukiele, Danso, Alderete; Meunier, Le Fee, Xhaka, Methalie; N. Angulo, Isidor, Fofana
Probable lineup Brighton & Hove Albion: Verbruggen; Kadioglu, Dunk, Vuskovic, Boscagli; Chema Andres, Gross; Gomez, Ayari, De Cuyper; Kostoulas
Free Premier League Prediction: Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Brighton have scored in all five league games, kept three clean sheets and conceded only five goals all season. Sunderland have conceded in each of their last three matches and have never scored against Brighton in the Premier League.
The injury lists cancel each other out to a degree, but Sunderland’s absences hit their only reliable scorer while Brighton’s goals are spread across the squad. In a tight game, that difference decides it.
Around 2.40 for the away win is the value on this card. Brighton’s patchy away record is the only argument against, and it is not strong enough to change the call.
If Brobbey passes a late fitness test, Sunderland gain a focal point and the game tightens. Even then, a home side conceding two a game against the top scorers in the league is not a profile we want to back.
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