- 1 Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers: 31 goals in Edmonton’s first three games meet an unbeaten Ducks side
- 2 Anaheim Ducks: three power-play goals in the home opener and a defence that still gives up chances
- 3 Edmonton Oilers: McDavid and Bouchard on 17 points between them in the first week under Babcock
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers: 31 goals in Edmonton’s first three games meet an unbeaten Ducks side 
Thirty-one goals in three games. That is the combined output of Edmonton’s matches so far, both teams included, and it frames Wednesday’s trip to Honda Center better than any standings table.
The Oilers have played games of 11, 16 and 4 total goals. Two of the three cleared a 6.5 line with plenty to spare.
Anaheim host Edmonton on Wednesday 7 October at 10:00 p.m. ET, which means a 04:00 start in Paris on Thursday morning. The Ducks are 2-0-0 and the Oilers 2-0-1, so both arrive with almost everything they could have asked for.
There is history here as well. Anaheim knocked Edmonton out of the first round last spring, 4-2, before losing to Vegas by the same margin in round two.
The market makes Edmonton the favourite at 1.65, with the Ducks at 2.25. The total sits at 6.5 goals, with the Over priced at 2.00 and the Under at 1.80.
The data paints a specific picture here, and it has less to do with the winner than with the scoreboard. Both teams score freely, both defend loosely, and the meetings between them last season were anything but tight.
Early-season hockey adds its own variables. Goaltenders are still finding rhythm, defensive pairs are still being reshuffled, and coaches are still learning which lines they can trust in their own end.
Anaheim Ducks: three power-play goals in the home opener and a defence that still gives up chances 
Anaheim beat Florida 3-2 in overtime on Sunday, and every one of those goals came on the power play. Cutter Gauthier scored twice and added an assist, Mikael Granlund won it in overtime, and Leo Carlsson finished with three assists.
It was the Ducks’ 11th consecutive home-opener win. The season had already started with four goals in Vegas, so the attack has arrived in shape.
The defensive side is less convincing. Florida tied the game through Brad Marchand with 1:50 left in regulation, and Lukas Dostal needed 29 saves to get his team to overtime.
Last season’s numbers explain the pattern. At home the Ducks scored 3.54 goals per game and allowed 3.49, and across the full season they were outscored by 15 goals despite reaching 92 points.
That is a team that wins tight, chaotic games, 24-6-6 in one-goal matches last season, rather than one that suppresses chances. It suits an open game far more than it suits a clean sheet.
Troy Terry is out after hip surgery, which removes a proven scorer from the right side. Gauthier, who signed a six-year deal worth $13.5 million a season in September, now carries even more of the attacking load.
The power play is the weapon to watch. Three goals from three in the Florida game, and an Edmonton penalty kill that has to deal with Gauthier and Carlsson working the half-wall.
Dostal is the man Anaheim lean on in net, and his 29-save night against Florida was solid without being spectacular. Against an Edmonton top six this sharp, he will face a far heavier workload, and that rarely ends in a low score.
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Edmonton Oilers: McDavid and Bouchard on 17 points between them in the first week under Babcock 
Mike Babcock’s first week in charge has produced exactly what this roster promised: elite offence and very little control. Connor McDavid has nine points, Evan Bouchard has eight, and the defenceman already has four goals.
Bouchard opened the season with a hat trick and two assists in a 6-5 overtime loss to Vancouver. He became the first defenceman in NHL history with five points in a season opener.
Two nights later the rematch finished 9-7 to Edmonton, McDavid collecting one goal and four assists after the Oilers led 5-0 in the first period. Sixteen goals in one game.
The 3-1 win over Seattle on Saturday showed they can tighten up when needed. One game out of three, though, is not a trend.
The road profile from last season backs up the open style. The Oilers scored 3.39 goals per away game and allowed 3.15, finishing on 93 points before losing that first-round series to Anaheim.
The regular-season meetings in 2025-26 were wild: 7-4 and 4-2 for Edmonton at home, 6-5 for Anaheim in Anaheim. Three games, 28 goals.
McDavid and Leon Draisaitl together, plus Bouchard running the power play from the point, give Edmonton a top unit that can break any game open. The question is whether the system behind them can stop the other side doing the same.
So far, the answer is no. Edmonton have conceded 14 goals in three games, close to five per night, and only the Seattle win kept the opposition under three.
Probable lineup Anaheim Ducks: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Edmonton Oilers: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Anaheim Ducks vs Edmonton Oilers
Our prediction: Over 6.5 goals at 2.00
Edmonton’s games are averaging more than ten goals, Anaheim scored three power-play goals in their home opener, and last season’s three regular-season meetings produced 28 goals. Two of those three games cleared 6.5 comfortably.
The Anaheim Ducks’ home games last season averaged just over seven goals combined, 3.54 scored and 3.49 allowed. Add McDavid and Bouchard in this kind of form, and the Under needs both goaltenders to produce their best night of the young season.
Picking a side is a coin flip when both defences leak this much. Seven goals or more is the call, and even money on the Over is the price we want.
The main risk is a goaltending duel nobody saw coming, the kind of 2-1 night that happens a handful of times every October. We accept that risk at 2.00, because the evidence for goals is deeper than the evidence against them.
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