Match context Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars 
Broncos running over the Jaguars? Let’s keep a cool head. Trevor Lawrence’s six touchdowns against the Jets shouldn’t make anyone lose perspective: New York has one of the worst pass defenses in the league and had absolutely nothing to play for. Jacksonville’s on a five-game winning run, but that streak was built against very soft defenses.
Statistically, the Jaguars’ offense is mediocre. They only gain 4.1 yards per carry (24th in the NFL), sit 16th in yards per pass attempt and are especially poor at 29th in completion percentage. Hard to get excited when the opposition level steps up.
Keys to the matchup Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars 
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The matchup’s anything but friendly for Jacksonville. Denver has one of the league’s best defenses — they can pressure without getting exposed and force offenses to be patient. That’s exactly where the Jaguars break down.
Another key point: Denver hardly runs the ball, which neuters a big part of Jacksonville’s defensive edge — they’re very solid against the run. The Broncos will attack where the Jaguars are weakest, turning this into a passing game. Bo Nix might not be flashy, but in this spot he doesn’t need to be.
Free Pick Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Result: Moneyline Denver Broncos (includes overtime)
Everything smells like a classic letdown spot for Jacksonville after a run of overly favourable matchups. Denver’s at home, more complete, and far better armed on defense. Without overreacting to Lawrence’s last game, the value’s clearly on the Broncos’ side.
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