Match context — Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs 
This end-of-season duel between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tennessee Titans pitches two teams already out of the playoff race. With Patrick Mahomes sidelined, the Chiefs are finishing a frustrating season with Gardner Minshew at the controls, while the Titans keep building around rookie Cam Ward.
On paper it’s dull. For bettors it’s interesting. The spread’s short, the total’s tiny, and recent team dynamics tell a different story than the odds suggest.
What’s in Tennessee’s favor 
Tennessee keep producing chaotic but high-scoring games. Six of the last eight Titans matches have gone over the total, often thanks to points from the defense or special teams. Cam Ward remains limited, but the overall setup still leans toward unexpected, high-scoring scenarios.
Facing a demoralized Kansas City side, without Mahomes and thin on the offensive line and at receiver, the Titans have a real chance to stay in it — maybe even take it.
Kansas City doubts 
The Chiefs are on a run of six straight losses against the spread. The offense with Minshew functions in bursts but lacks consistency, especially on third down. The run defense holds up at times, but the secondary keeps costing them.
In a dead rubber, motivation and execution become guesses. That makes KC a shaky favorite.
Free Pick Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs
Pick: Tennessee Titans +3,5
The spread’s too tight to ignore the Titans, and the total looks underpriced given the recent profile of their games.
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