Match context New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings 
The Vikings’ QB J.J. McCarthy did his job last week, slicing up one of the league’s worst secondaries in a 34–26 win over Dallas. The setting stays hugely in his favour here — he now faces a Giants defence ranked fourth-worst by DVOA and simply last against the run.
This is exactly the kind of matchup Minnesota can exploit. The Vikings sit in the league’s top 12 in rushing average, and the task is made easier by New York’s limited pressure — only 19th in pressure rate — plus the possible absence of Kayvon Thibodeaux.
Keys to the New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings matchup 
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The big point is offensive tempo. New York looks more credible on offence with Jaxson Dart back, and even if Minnesota stays solid overall, the Vikings have shown holes against the run several times this season.
If the Giants can find a minimum of offensive balance, this game can open up fast. Especially since New York’s been involved in high-scoring affairs: the Over has hit in eight of their last nine, and the total posted here doesn’t really reflect that trend.
Free Pick New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings
Total points: Over 43,5 points
Everything points to a more offensive game than expected. Minnesota is perfectly set to exploit the Giants’ defensive flaws, and New York has enough response to add to the scoreboard. The total is too low given the profiles and recent trends.
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