- 1 Gibraltar vs Andorra: three unbeaten against a side still chasing its first point
- 2 Gibraltar Analysis
- 3 Andorra Analysis
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Gibraltar vs Andorra
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Gibraltar vs Andorra: three unbeaten against a side still chasing its first point 
Gibraltar sit 30 places below Andorra in the FIFA rankings, yet they arrive at this game unbeaten in three while Andorra are coming off a defeat. The two meet in League D Group 1 on Sunday 27 September at 18h00 Paris time at the Victoria Stadium.
The group contains three nations that all failed to win promotion in the 2024-25 edition: Gibraltar, Andorra and Malta. With so little between them, every point carries weight in the final standings.
Andorra have already played. They lost 2-1 to Malta in Encamp on Thursday, while this is Gibraltar’s first match of the campaign.
League D will not exist in the 2028-29 edition, so every side in this tier is set to move up to League C. Pride and group position remain the objectives, and neither coach will treat this fixture lightly.
Scott Wiseman will see this as a chance to confirm progress on home soil. Koldo Alvarez needs a reaction after Thursday, knowing that only a win keeps Andorra competitive in the group.
Gibraltar’s two most recent wins, against the British Virgin Islands and the Cayman Islands, both came in home fixtures. The Victoria Stadium is where Wiseman’s side have rebuilt their confidence.
Bookmakers make Andorra slight favourites at 2.40, with Gibraltar at 3.00 and the draw at 2.80. That near-even split already tells us how little separates these sides on paper.
The analytical angle here is the scoring rate of both teams. Neither side scores freely against European opposition, which makes the draw a serious scenario.
Gibraltar Analysis 
Gibraltar are on a three-match unbeaten run in friendlies. They beat the British Virgin Islands 4-0 and the Cayman Islands 4-1, then drew 0-0 with Sao Tome and Principe on Wednesday.
The goal tally of that run, eight scored and one conceded, looks impressive on paper. All eight goals came against the British Virgin Islands and the Cayman Islands, two opponents from outside Europe.
Those results need context. Before that run, Gibraltar had lost 12 matches in a row, although three of their four previous defeats against Montenegro and Latvia were by a single goal.
Scott Wiseman’s side also reached the Nations League qualification playoffs in the previous edition. The trajectory is upward, even if the profile of recent opponents inflates the goal tally.
Wiseman is expected to make several changes after Wednesday. Kian Ronan should return at right-back, Dan Bent is likely in midfield, and Tjay De Barr and Dylan Borge are in line to be recalled in attack.
Continuity in defence is the priority behind those changes. Gibraltar conceded only once during the unbeaten run, and the back line is the base of their recent progress.
The decisive point is the 0-0 against Sao Tome and Principe on Wednesday, their most recent test. Gibraltar kept things tight but did not score.
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Andorra Analysis 
Andorra led Malta in the 17th minute on Thursday and looked on course for a result. Malta levelled before half-time, then Teddy Teuma scored the winner in the 81st minute.
That defeat followed a mixed run for Koldo Alvarez’s side. They drew 0-0 in San Marino, lost 1-0 to Iraq and beat Liechtenstein 2-0, avoiding defeat in two of their previous four games.
The Malta game showed Andorra can score first but struggle to protect a lead. Conceding twice after taking an early advantage points to a drop in intensity in the closing stages.
Andorra sit 172nd in the FIFA rankings, 30 places above Gibraltar. That gap explains why bookmakers make them slight favourites despite the away trip.
Alvarez could name the same side, but changes are possible. Jordi Alaez and Berto Rosas may come in for Eric Izquierdo and Gerard Sola after a demanding Thursday night.
Remolins and Babot are expected to anchor midfield, the zone where Andorra build their defensive block. The probable eleven keeps most of the structure that took the lead against Malta on Thursday.
The squad has little time to recover, with this game coming three days after the Malta defeat. Rotation in midfield and attack is the most likely response from the Andorran staff.
Andorra need a win to stay in contention for first place, which could push them forward. Their low scoring rate still limits how much that intent translates into goals.
Probable lineup Gibraltar: Banda; Ronan, Jolley, Lopes, Valarino; Scanlon, Pozo, Bent; Mason, De Barr, Borge
Probable lineup Andorra: Alvarez; Borra, Llovera, Olivera, San Nicolas; Remolins, Babot, Alaez, Rodrigo; Lopez, Rosas
Free Football Prediction: Gibraltar vs Andorra
Our prediction: Draw
The market barely separates these sides: Andorra at 2.40, Gibraltar at 3.00. Andorra’s recent results include a 0-0 in San Marino and a 1-0 defeat to Iraq, while Gibraltar’s most recent game ended 0-0.
Gibraltar’s unbeaten run gives them confidence at home, and Andorra’s defeat to Malta leaves them tired after a Thursday game. Neither side has the attacking depth to pull clear.
Sports Mole’s preview also projects a low-scoring draw, with Gibraltar able to keep things tight on home territory. The under 2.5 goals line is priced at just 1.40, which confirms that the market expects very few goals.
The draw at 2.70 is the second-shortest price on the board, just behind the away win. Given the low scoring rates on both sides, that is where the value sits.
On this basis, the most likely outcome is a low-scoring stalemate. The draw is priced at 2.70 with the top bookmakers, and that is our pick.
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