Match context New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills 
Buffalo roll into Foxborough with one plan: win. The Bills are still alive in the division race, powered by an offense on fire and, crucially, the most reliable quarterback in the league when it comes to simply closing out games. Josh Allen turns these tight spots into cash. History backs him and the Bills when the margin is inside a field goal.
Opposite them, New England’s having an almost unreal season. Ten straight wins, top of the AFC East and a Drake Maye who already looks incredibly composed. But it isn’t all bulletproof. The schedule’s been unusually kind, luck has tilted their way more than once, and they’re heading into the bye with a weakened offensive line — notably missing left tackle Will Campbell.
Keys to the clash New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills 
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This fight will be decided in the red zone and up front. Buffalo rank top-10 in efficiency inside the 20, while the Patriots’ defense is dead last there. That’s a huge problem against a quarterback like Allen, who can turn drives into touchdowns even when the field tightens.
Another key: the ground game. New England’s run defense has been collapsing for weeks, and injuries in the secondary haven’t helped. Against the league’s most dominant rushing attack, it puts Maye in a delicate spot: matching the pace with zero margin for error, under constant pressure on his blind side.
Free Pick New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills
Result: Moneyline Buffalo Bills (including overtime)
New England deserve credit, but the matchup’s poor, the weather context favors the Bills, and the gap between the quarterbacks becomes decisive in games like this. If anyone’s going to win this one, it’s Josh Allen.
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