- 1 Monza vs Sassuolo: 17 goals in four games for the hosts, a stat that sums up the fixture
- 2 Monza: one point from four games and a numbers problem from set pieces
- 3 Sassuolo: seven points from 12, but no away win in eight
- 4 Serie A prediction Monza vs Sassuolo
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes fast
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling comes first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Monza vs Sassuolo: 17 goals in four games for the hosts, a stat that sums up the fixture 
Monza’s first four Serie A matches have produced 17 goals. That works out at well over four a game.
It has delivered just one point for the newly promoted Lombardy side. The 1-1 draw at Parma is still their only league game without defeat.
Sassuolo arrive at the U-Power Stadium with a healthier return, seven points from 12 available. Kick-off is set for Friday 18 September at 20:45 Paris time.
The Neroverdi come in off a 3-2 win over Juventus, the result that stole the headlines in Italy. Alberto Aquilani has already delivered the biggest result of his spell in charge.
Monza, meanwhile, are coming off a 3-2 defeat at Lecce after shipping two goals in the opening 12 minutes. It felt all too familiar after their only home game of the season.
The Lombardy club had already lost 3-2 at home to Udinese on matchday two. Ivan Juric therefore heads into this one under pressure in Monza.
Recent history between the clubs, though, cuts across the current table positions. Sassuolo have never beaten Monza in Serie A, with the Brianzoli taking 10 points from the four top-flight meetings.
Monza: one point from four games and a numbers problem from set pieces 
Monza’s return to the top flight began with a 4-1 loss at San Siro against Inter. The defensive alarm bells were ringing straight away.
Matchday two backed that up with a 3-2 defeat to Udinese at the U-Power Stadium. Two goals scored were not enough to earn a single point.
The trip to Parma brought their only positive result so far, a dull 1-1 draw. Last weekend at Lecce, the script again went against the Biancorossi.
Two down after 12 minutes, they spent the rest of the night chasing the game before going down 3-2. There is plenty of attacking output, but not nearly enough structure at the back.
Six of Monza’s league goals conceded have come from set plays. Corners, in particular, cost them badly on the trip to Salento.
The broader picture is even harsher: including their previous spell in Serie A, the club have won only one of their last 22 matches in the division.
Ivan Juric must do without captain Matteo Pessina, as well as Jan Ziolkowski, on loan from Roma, and wing-back Idrissa Toure. Patrick Ciurria, Cyril Ngonge and Ricardo Mangas remain doubts.
Gustavo Varela has recently returned to action, which is the best bit of news around at the moment. The winger is the only player in the squad with more than one league goal this season.
Patrick Cutrone and Dany Mota are among the candidates to play alongside him up front. There is no shortage of experience there. The end product is another matter.
The schedule offers little relief, with the game brought forward to Friday night. The U-Power Stadium is still waiting for its first point of the season.
Two goals against Udinese and another two at Lecce show the attacking threat is real. Turning that into points remains Ivan Juric’s main headache at Monza.
Try it for $0.99.
Sassuolo: seven points from 12, but no away win in eight 
Sassuolo started the campaign with a 2-1 defeat in Bergamo against Atalanta. Things have moved in a very different direction since.
A 2-1 win over Torino at the Mapei Stadium got them moving, before a 2-2 draw in Bologna. Bologna’s equaliser came very late.
They answered that last weekend in a five-goal thriller against Juventus. Sebastiano Esposito opened the scoring on his first start for his new club.
Kieron Bowie, off the bench, put the Neroverdi back in front after Juve had levelled. A second Juventus equaliser deep into stoppage time looked to have settled matters.
Then Vasilije Adzic, on loan from Juventus, struck the winner in the 94th minute against his parent club. Sassuolo are also through to the Coppa Italia last 16, where they will meet the Bianconeri again.
There is one cloud hanging over this bright start: the Emilians have not won away from home since February. That run now stands at eight matches.
The injury list is still a long one for Alberto Aquilani. Fali Candé, Edoardo Pieragnolo and Ismael Kone are out long term, while Daniel Boloca and Cristian Volpato are also missing.
Sebastian Walukiewicz is a doubt, and Jay Idzes has been ruled out for six weeks with a quad injury. That takes the edge off their back line.
Up front, Domenico Berardi remains the man to watch against this kind of opposition. The winger has been directly involved in 19 goals across his last 21 league games against newly promoted sides.
Sassuolo therefore head to Lombardy with momentum on their side and a very clear statistical headache. The Neroverdi have not won away from the Mapei Stadium since February.
Still, this looks like a good chance to end that drought, against the only side in the division still on one point after four rounds. Aquilani has a real opening here at Monza.
Probable Monza XI: Tornqvist – Kouadio, Lucchesi, Carboni – Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Bakoune – Colpani, Robinson – Varela
Probable Sassuolo XI: Muric – Cinquegrano, Caleta-Car, Leysen, Doig – Lipani, Matic, Thorstvedt – Berardi, Esposito, Lauriente
Serie A prediction Monza vs Sassuolo
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals in the match
Three of Monza’s four league games this season have gone beyond the three-goal mark. The combined total stands at 17 goals across four rounds.
For Sassuolo, their four league matches have produced three, three, four and five goals. None has finished below three.
With Monza having conceded six goals from set pieces and Sassuolo’s defence now missing Jay Idzes for six weeks, there is too much to work with at both ends. Over 2.5 goals looks the play here.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
First, a word on our free picks
- What we publish on mathodds is analysis, nothing more. We offer an opinion, a read on the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport is what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a goal from nowhere… and the whole script changes.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when something looks obvious, it never really is. And yes, that means you can lose. In fact, you will at some point.
- The smart move is to keep it sensible. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Don’t touch money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses. That usually ends badly.
- A bet should stay a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts to take up too much space in your life, if it irritates you or puts you under pressure, take a break. And if needed, speak to a specialist organisation. That’s what they’re there for.
- In the end, responsibility sits with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and that it will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis is.
- Essential reminder: betting is banned for minors and must follow the law in your country. Gambling can quickly go off the rails (money loss, family tension, addiction). Need Help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. In the UK? Visit https://www.gambleaware.org/https://www.gambleaware.org/.
No commitment from us
Our picks are not a contract. They have no legal force. Put simply: you cannot use them to claim anything if a bet loses.
Information changes fast
A prediction is always based on what we know when it is written. But in the meantime, a team sheet can change, a player can get injured, the weather can turn… and the analysis can quickly go stale. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before betting, check that wagering is legal where you live. If it is not, that is on you, not us.
Responsible gambling comes first
We cannot say this enough: bet in moderation. If you struggle to stay in control, get help without delay. We cannot be responsible for compulsive or excessive use of the information published on the site.
Legal age
mathodds content is for adults only. By using this site, you confirm that you are old enough by law to place bets.
About the images…
The Monza and Sassuolo images and logos on mathodds, including those linked to Serie A, are there only to illustrate our articles. They do not mean we have any official link with a federation or sports body, and we claim no rights over them.
Those rights belong to the original creators. If, despite our care, any image causes a problem, contact us: it will be removed straight away.
Our only aim with these images is to make reading more enjoyable. Nothing more. No commercial gain, no taking credit for someone else’s work.
Leave a Reply