- 1 Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Białystok: three goals in four league matches against nine unbeaten European trips
- 2 Olympiacos: seven points from four league games and a stalled attack
- 3 Jagiellonia Białystok: nine European away games unbeaten and a near full squad
- 4 Europa League prediction Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Białystok
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information can change
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals…
Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Białystok: three goals in four league matches against nine unbeaten European trips 
Olympiacos have scored three goals across their first four Greek Super League matches. No side near the top of the table has posted a leaner attack.
That return leaves the Piraeus club sixth with seven points, from two wins, one draw and one defeat. Just two goals conceded in that span tells you the problem is up front, and nowhere else.
The Georgios-Karaiskakis Stadium kicks off the league phase on Wednesday 16 September at 21:00. Olympiacos open at home against a Polish side arriving with a strong European run behind them.
Jagiellonia Białystok are unbeaten in their last nine European away games. That stat says plenty about a team that knows how to travel without falling apart.
The Greeks are in this competition by the back door, after going out in the Champions League third qualifying round to NEC Nijmegen on a 2-1 aggregate scoreline. Europa League football was not the original plan.
Matchday one in a 36-team league phase often shapes the rest of the journey. For a club still searching for its cutting edge, a home opener looks like a chance they need to take.
The single 36-team table sends the top eight straight through. Clubs finishing ninth to 24th go into an extra playoff round in February.
The fixture list then sends Olympiacos to Marseille on matchday two. Jagiellonia host Ararat-Armenia, which makes the trip to Piraeus their toughest test of the autumn.
Olympiacos: seven points from four league games and a stalled attack 
Seven points from four Greek league games put Olympiacos sixth. Leaders Panathinaikos have 12 from the same number of matches.
The scorelines paint a picture of a side that has been locked down at both ends. A 1-0 win over Atromitos on 22 August, a 1-0 victory at Asteras Tripolis on 30 August, then a 1-1 draw at Volos on 5 September.
The fourth round brought a setback. Beaten 0-1 at home by OFI Crete on 12 September, Olympiacos dropped their first points at the Karaiskakis this season.
El Kaabi’s absence is a major blow to this attacking slump. With 23 goals, the striker is the club’s all-time leading scorer in major European competition.
The expected line-up has Stefan Ortega in goal, behind Marcus Pedersen, Panagiotis Retsos, Lorenzo Pirola and Nair Tiknizyan. Armando Gonzalez should lead the line, supported by Jota Silva and Leon Bailey, with Gustavo Puerta and Remo Freuler screening the defence.
They already trail the Greek title pace by five points after four rounds. Panathinaikos have a perfect record with 12 points and 11 goals.
The contrast between the two attacks sums up the problem. Eleven goals on one side, three on the other, with the same number of games played.
Olympiacos’ saving grace is the work at the back, with only two goals conceded in four league matches. That is the best total in the Super League, level with Panathinaikos, OFI Crete and AEK Athens.
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Jagiellonia Białystok: nine European away games unbeaten and a near full squad 
Jagiellonia Białystok have not lost any of their last nine European away matches. That run is the Polish club’s main calling card before facing Olympiacos.
For an Ekstraklasa side, that continental record matters. It shows they can stick to a game plan in hostile stadiums, which is exactly what they face on Wednesday.
Their domestic league, though, reminded everyone of their limits in early September. Jagiellonia lost 2-1 at Lech Poznan on 3 September against the current Ekstraklasa runners-up.
The injury room is almost empty ahead of the trip to Greece. Ousmane Sow is the only confirmed absentee, leaving the coaching staff with all of its attacking options.
Nik Prelec should lead the Polish attack after a productive start to the season. Against a Greek defence that has conceded just two goals in four league games, his output will be one to watch.
The gap in resources between the Ekstraklasa and the Greek Super League is still real. But it looks a lot smaller when the home side is going through a scoring drought of this size.
Jagiellonia arrive at a stadium where Olympiacos had not lost this season before their 12 September defeat to OFI Crete. That result showed the Piraeus stronghold is not quite as airtight as usual.
The game plan is easy enough to read: sit deep, stay compact through the middle, and break quickly towards Prelec. That is the formula Jagiellonia have used to build their unbeaten away run.
Expected Olympiacos line-up: Ortega ; Pedersen, Retsos, Pirola, Tiknizyan ; Puerta, Freuler ; Jota Silva, Chiquinho, Bailey ; Armando Gonzalez.
Expected Jagiellonia Białystok line-up: Not available at the time of publication.
Europa League prediction Olympiacos vs Jagiellonia Białystok
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals in the match
Olympiacos’ four league games this season have finished 1-0, 1-0, 1-1 and 0-1. None has gone above two total goals, and the club have managed just three scored and two conceded across the run.
El Kaabi’s absence, with the striker the club’s all-time European top scorer, leaves the Greeks without their main finisher at the very moment they need a spark. On the other side, Jagiellonia have built their nine-match unbeaten European away run on discipline rather than firepower.
This one still points to under 2.5 goals. Two tight sides, a missing star striker and the pressure of opening day all suggest a low-scoring night at the Karaiskakis.
The counterpoint is that the Greeks may have to go after the game, which could open things up. But their current output, three goals in four league matches, makes that hard to buy over 90 minutes.
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