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Sunderland vs Hull City - Free Prediction EFL Cup - September 8, 2026

Sunderland vs Hull City – Free Prediction EFL Cup – September 8, 2026

Sunderland vs Hull City: four points to seven, and the promoted side arrive in form EFL Cup

The Stadium of Light hosts an EFL Cup third-round tie between two Premier League clubs on Tuesday, September 8. Kick-off is set for 7:45pm UK time, which is 8:45pm in France.

Sunderland come into it with four points from a possible nine in the league. Hull City have seven, a return few saw coming from a newly promoted side at the start of the season.

The contrast in momentum is obvious. The Black Cats are still trying to find their attacking rhythm, while the Tigers are rolling on with a level of defensive steel you do not often see at this level.

This fixture lands in the middle of a packed spell for the hosts. Between Arsenal and Manchester City in the league, Regis Le Bris also has to get his side ready for their European bow against AZ Alkmaar.

The two clubs have taken very different routes to this point. Sunderland were given a free pass through the second round because of their European qualification, while Hull had to knock out Stoke City on penalties.

They have met only twice in this competition. Sunderland won 2-1 in 1961-62, and Hull edged a shootout six years ago in the first round.

The real story tonight is in the teamsheets. Both managers will make changes, and the result will depend largely on which squad has the deeper support.

Sunderland: solid character, but the pecking order is still shifting Sunderland

Four points from three Premier League matches is Sunderland’s early return. They lost at Ipswich Town to begin with, then beat Fulham 1-0 before drawing 0-0 at Brentford last weekend.

That last result said a lot about the mood in the camp. Trailing shortly after the break, Le Bris’s side clawed back a point through Enzo Le Fee’s late penalty.

That knack for responding is no fluke. Since their return to the top flight last summer, no English club has picked up more points after going behind.

It was that mentality, in large part, that got Sunderland into Europe back in May. Their Europa League campaign begins at the Stadium of Light with a visit from AZ Alkmaar.

The defensive unit has been reshaped over the summer and is still working things out. Kevin Danso got his first minutes at Brentford, while Omar Alderete could come back into the centre of defence on Tuesday night.

One absence carries more weight than most in midfield. Habib Diarra, who picked up a hamstring injury against Fulham, is out for the next two months and leaves Le Bris without his most physical link man.

The Frenchman is likely to give minutes to some of his squad players, including Malick Fofana, signed on deadline day. The club’s priorities are clear enough: the league and the European assignment ahead.

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Hull City: three clean sheets on the spin and a cup curse Hull City

Seven points from three Premier League games for a promoted side is a number worth noticing. Hull City beat Manchester United 2-0, then won 1-0 at Coventry City before holding Aston Villa on Saturday.

That goalless draw reinforced the bigger picture. It was the third straight match they had gone through without conceding, a run that underlines the work Sergej Jakirovic has done.

The Bosnian coach was happy to let Aston Villa have the ball. His side stayed compact for 90 minutes, and that discipline has been the backbone of Hull’s start.

But their EFL Cup record tells a very different story. Hull have not won in normal time in this competition across their last 10 attempts, with all three victories in that spell coming via penalties.

The previous round followed the same script. Stoke City were beaten after a 1-1 draw and a shootout, and Hull have not reached the fourth round since 2016.

The injury list is still long for the visitors. Jack Butland, Oscar Zambrano, Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi and Hidemasa Morita are all out, while Joe Gelhardt has returned to full training.

Deadline day did at least hand Jakirovic a few extra options. Tim Iroegbunam, Robinio Vaz, Sorba Thomas and Brooke Norton-Cuffy all arrived on the final day, and the last of those could come in at right wing-back for Lewie Coyle.

Probable Sunderland XI: Ellborg ; Mukiele, Alderete, O’Nien, Methalie ; Ahoka, Sadiki ; Hume, Le Fee, Fofana ; Isidor

Probable Hull City XI: Tzolakis ; Egan, McNair, Herrington ; Norton-Cuffy, Iroegbunam, Hjerto-Dahl, Targett ; Thomas, Millar ; Cho

Football prediction Sunderland vs Hull City

Our prediction: Hull City to win

Sunderland’s schedule makes it hard for Regis Le Bris to risk too many regulars. With two big Premier League games either side and a first European outing to prepare for, this cup tie comes at a bad time for the Black Cats.

Hull City, by contrast, have been strengthened by four deadline-day signings, which gives Jakirovic room to rotate without weakening his side too much. Three straight clean sheets against Manchester United, Coventry City and Aston Villa give the promoted club a base most newcomers can only dream of.

The call here is about squad depth, not status. Back Hull City to beat Sunderland.

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