- 1 Leicester City vs Plymouth Argyle: two points from three games, and the numbers tell the story
- 2 Leicester City: possession is not enough
- 3 Plymouth Argyle: built for the road
- 4 Football prediction Leicester City vs Plymouth Argyle
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling comes first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Leicester City vs Plymouth Argyle: two points from three games, and the numbers tell the story 
Two points from a possible nine after three League One matches. Leicester City’s start to the season looks like a warning sign for the side billed as the division’s big favourite.
The Foxes sit 20th, kept just above the relegation zone by goal difference alone. Plymouth Argyle head to the King Power Stadium with four points and a place in 12th.
Kick-off is set for Tuesday 1 September at 8.45pm French time, which is 7.45pm local time. The game opens the fourth round of fixtures.
Leicester have not won since beating Northampton Town 1-0 in the first round of the EFL Cup, a night that ended with 77% possession and eight shots to four. Since then, all that ball control has got them nowhere.
Plymouth arrive off the back of a 2-0 win over Bradford City, their first league victory of the season. It matters too, because Bradford had won their first two games.
So this is a side that keeps the ball without cutting through against a team that built its reputation on life away from home. That mismatch is where this fixture will be won or lost.
And there is one more ugly detail: Leicester are now six league games without a home win. The King Power is not the fortress it once was.
Leicester City: possession is not enough 
The record is plain enough: 1-1 at Notts County, a 1-2 home loss to Burton Albion, then a 0-0 draw at MK Dons. Three games, two points, no wins.
That leaves Leicester 20th, level with the drop zone. For a club that was in the Premier League little more than a year ago, that is a harsh fall.
Russell Martin opened his reign with a cup win, but the next four outings have brought no victories. The heat is already on after just three league matches.
The issue is not control. Leicester dominate the ball in almost every game. The problem is what they do with it, with just one goal in their last two league matches.
The EFL Cup trip to Ipswich Town exposed the defensive frailty in the group, ending in a 3-1 defeat. That softness at the back, coupled with the blunt attack, explains the league position.
On the injury front, Ben Nelson remains sidelined with a long-term issue, while Conor Chaplin and Caleb Okoli are doubts. Chaplin came off hurt against MK Dons, which would leave Martin short of his best link between midfield and attack.
The key factor is the venue: six league games without a home win for the Foxes. Leicester need this one to stop the rot, and that kind of pressure is hard to ignore for a side already running low on confidence.
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Plymouth Argyle: built for the road 
The Pilgrims finished last season with the second-best away record in League One: 39 points, 12 wins, three draws, nine defeats. That is the central fact in this match.
That strength on the road has carried into this campaign, with seven straight away games unbeaten. Tom Cleverley’s Plymouth travel well, and the pattern has become hard to dismiss as luck.
Saturday’s 2-0 win over Bradford City got their league season moving. Julio Pleguezuelo and Harvey White scored the goals, and both should keep their places on Tuesday.
Before that lift, the form was patchier: a 1-3 defeat to Stockport County, a 1-1 draw at Wycombe, and a 2-4 loss to Coventry City in the EFL Cup. It took the group a month to find its rhythm.
Cleverley has three injury absentees: Michael Baidoo, Malachi Boateng and Owen Oseni. The back line, though, is intact.
Last season’s eighth-place finish, just two points shy of sixth-placed Stevenage, tells you where this squad really stands. Plymouth are not going to the King Power as cannon fodder.
The big tactical edge is their ability to sit deep and break quickly, which suits them perfectly against a side that wants the ball. Leicester are handing them exactly the kind of game they want.
Probable Leicester City line-up: Stolarczyk ; Joseph, Souttar, Thomas, McFarlane ; Burns, De Cordova-Reid, Page, Braybrooke, Watson ; Bristric
Probable Plymouth Argyle line-up: Cooper ; Harding, Mitchell, Pleguezuelo, Hartridge ; Curtis, Bakinson, White, Irow ; Evans, Pepple
Football prediction Leicester City vs Plymouth Argyle
Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to avoid defeat (draw or away win)
The first reason is Leicester’s home record: six league games without a win at the King Power. A run that long is no fluke.
The second is Plymouth’s away record, which was the second-best in League One last season, and they are unbeaten in their last seven trips. Fresh confidence after the 2-0 win over Bradford City only strengthens the case.
Leicester have the ball but no punch. Plymouth defend deep and strike at the right moment. The visitors should leave the King Power with at least a point.
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