- 1 Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils: can Cincinatti’s kid do it again?
- 2 Stefanos Tsitsipas chasing consistency
- 3 Arthur Fils ready to take the next step
- 4 Clear edge for the Frenchman in the head-to-head
- 5 US Open Prediction Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils
- 6 First, a word on our predictions
- 7 No commitment from us
- 8 Information changes
- 9 Your responsibility
- 10 Responsible gambling first
- 11 Legal age
- 12 About the images…
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils: can Cincinatti’s kid do it again? 
The opening round of the men’s draw at the US Open is set to come out swinging. Among the standout ties in New York this first week, the clash between Stefanos Tsitsipas and young Frenchman Arthur Fils is pulling plenty of attention on the Flushing Meadows hard courts.
A former world Top 3 regular and two-time Grand Slam finalist, the Greek is trying to find his top level again after a tricky spell marked by fitness issues and patchy results.
Across the net, the French talent arrives in fine fettle, riding a wave of confidence after winning the Cincinnati Masters 1000 and carrying the sort of dangerous underdog status that can make life awkward for anyone in the last major of the season.
Stefanos Tsitsipas chasing consistency 
His recent title on the clay in Gstaad was a reminder of how high Tsitsipas can still fly when everything clicks, but he has struggled to put together wins on hard courts this summer.
He has also long found the American Grand Slam a hard nut to crack, never getting beyond the third round in eight previous appearances, and he comes in short of big-match rhythm.
If he wants to turn that around at Flushing Meadows, he will need to crank up the intensity and show real steel from the first ball. One thing he does have going for him: nothing to lose. Everything points to a fairly comfortable Arthur Fils win, but Tsitsipas has enough bite to remind everyone he can still produce the odd Grand Slam shock.
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Arthur Fils ready to take the next step 
Unlike his opponent, Arthur Fils heads into the 2026 US Open in outstanding form. Fresh from another title on the tour, the 22-year-old has established himself as one of the hottest players around.
In a men’s draw where several big names are still searching for rhythm on this American swing, the Frenchman has a golden chance to make some noise in New York, a tournament where he has yet to get beyond round two.
Sharp on serve, heavy from the back of the court and relentlessly aggressive, he arrives with all the conviction in the world and the clear intent to set the tone early. Tsitsipas might have hoped for something kinder than this in the first round, but Fils’ current form, the Greek’s struggles and the fact that the Frenchman has never lost to him make the man from the Paris suburbs the clear favourite here.
Clear edge for the Frenchman in the head-to-head
The head-to-head record leans heavily toward the young Frenchman, who has won all five of their ATP Tour meetings. Fils has found a way to shut Tsitsipas down time and again, giving him very little room to breathe.
This is their first best-of-five battle at a Grand Slam, but the gap in confidence between the two men is obvious as they walk on court.
US Open Prediction Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils
Under 37.5 games in the match
Arthur Fils comes into this match with a huge psychological edge over Stefanos Tsitsipas, having bossed him regularly in recent months without dropping a set in their latest meetings.
Given the Frenchman’s sparkling form and Tsitsipas’ ongoing struggles on American hard courts, Fils has every tool he needs to win in convincing fashion. This looks like a match he can control from start to finish, and it should be wrapped up quickly enough to keep the total games under 37.5.
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