- 1 NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt: two ties won in extra time
- 2 NEC Nijmegen: a home upset that changed the club’s status
- 3 Bodø/Glimt: the strongest European record in the tie
- 4 Champions League prediction NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt
- 5 First, a word on our free tips
- 6 No obligation on our part
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt: two ties won in extra time 
The two clubs meeting on Wednesday came through the previous round in the same way: extra time, right to the wire. That is the first thing they have in common in a fixture that has never happened before.
NEC knocked out Olympiacos after a 0-0 draw in Greece, then a 2-1 win after extra time at the Goffertstadion. Emre Mor scored the winner after the Greek side were reduced to 10 men in the 80th minute.
Bodø/Glimt got rid of Union Saint-Gilloise in even stranger circumstances. The winner came from a clearance that struck Andreas Helmersen in the face before rolling into the net.
The difference between the sides is experience at this level. The Norwegian club has reached the knockout stage of a European competition five years running, which very few clubs can say.
NEC, by contrast, has never played in the main stage of the Champions League. The Nijmegen side will lean on seasoned heads like Dušan Tadić and Emre Mor to narrow that gap.
The first leg takes place on Wednesday 19 August at 21:00 at the Goffertstadion, with the return on 25 August in Norway. Statistical models give the Dutch side a narrow edge in this first meeting, with a 41% chance of victory compared with 33% for Bodø/Glimt.
In other words, the bookmakers and the projections cannot really split these two. That uncertainty is itself a clue to what kind of night this could be.
NEC Nijmegen: a home upset that changed the club’s status 
Knocking out Olympiacos, a club used to European battles, is the standout result in NEC’s recent history. The manner mattered just as much as the scoreline.
Coming back from the Piraeus with a 0-0 already demanded a disciplined defensive plan. Dick Schreuder’s side stuck to it and did not concede over the 90 minutes of the first leg.
At home, they used the opposition red card in the 80th minute instead of sitting back and hoping for the best. Emre Mor turned that numbers advantage into the deciding goal in extra time.
Dušan Tadić brings a level of game reading that few Dutch teams outside the top three can match. His presence in the final third changes how opponents have to manage NEC’s good spells.
The Goffertstadion is suddenly a real asset in this first leg. The club has already shown there that it can bring down a team that looks stronger on paper.
The danger is the same as against the Greeks: starting too cautiously and giving the initiative to an opponent who can strike quickly.
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Bodø/Glimt: the strongest European record in the tie 
Last season in the Champions League, Bodø/Glimt beat Manchester City, Atletico Madrid and Inter twice before going out to Sporting CP in the round of 16. Those results were no fluke.
The Norwegian club has built a method: a highly drilled collective shape, relentless intensity and the knack for punishing teams that leave space. It has worked against opponents with far bigger budgets.
The flip side is that Bodø/Glimt now arrive as favourites, which is not where they usually do their best work. Their biggest runs have been built as the underdog.
Their win over Union Saint-Gilloise also needed a slice of luck, with that clearance deflecting off Andreas Helmersen in extra time. It was far from a polished display.
Another warning sign: the club lost its domestic title last season, finished above by Viking, who claimed their first Norwegian crown in 34 years. Their grip at home is not what it was.
Still, in an away first leg, the European experience built over the past five years is a real edge. Bodø/Glimt know exactly what an early goal against can do to a tie.
Probable NEC Nijmegen line-up: Not available at time of publication.
Probable Bodø/Glimt line-up: Not available at time of publication.
Champions League prediction NEC Nijmegen vs Bodø/Glimt
Our prediction: both teams to score
Bodø/Glimt found the net against Manchester City, Atletico Madrid and Inter last season, including away from home. The Norwegian side does not change its attacking approach depending on venue.
On the other side, NEC have just scored twice against Olympiacos at the Goffertstadion and have Tadić and Emre Mor, players who can create a chance out of nothing.
The projections, with only an eight-point gap between the teams, point to an open game where both sides will have to take risks before a tricky trip to Norway. Both teams to score.
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