- 1 Dodgers vs Diamondbacks : Los Angeles look to end the skid at Chase Field
- 2 Los Angeles turn to Sasaki to get things moving again
- 3 Arizona aim to keep the home run going
- 4 MLB Pick Dodgers vs Diamondbacks
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks : Los Angeles look to end the skid at Chase Field 
Los Angeles open a three-game set in Arizona on Friday night at Chase Field, with first pitch set for 9:40 p.m. ET. The Dodgers arrive in the worst patch of their season.
Six straight losses, including a sweep in Chicago by scores of 10-5, 5-1 and 7-6. The California juggernaut has stalled at the worst possible time.
Across the diamond, the Diamondbacks are riding a very different wave, with six wins in their last eight. Arizona are now just eight games back of their divisional rivals.
July still matters here too, when the D-backs swept the Dodgers in Los Angeles, 9-3, 9-2 and 5-3. That history gives Phoenix a real edge in the argument.
Even so, Los Angeles still own the best record in the division and a +140 run differential. The numbers are still heavily in their favour.
This game comes down to that gap: a better team over the long haul, but one in a slump right now, against a home side with momentum. The starting pitchers should decide it.
Los Angeles turn to Sasaki to get things moving again 
The Dodgers are 69-46 and top MLB in batting average at .262. The offence has not vanished, it has just gone missing for a week.
Over their last five games, they have scored only 18 runs while giving up 33. The breakdown has come from both the mound and the batter’s box.
Roki Sasaki gets the ball as they try to stop the slide, carrying a 5-5 record and a 4.64 ERA. His 1.30 WHIP and 101 strikeouts tell the story of a season that has gone up and down.
The positive sign is his recent form, with a 1.50 ERA over his three outings since the All-Star break. In his last start, he allowed just two runs over 5.1 innings.
On the road, Los Angeles remain dangerous at 36-23. That version of the Dodgers, not the one from the last six losses, is the one that fits their identity.
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Arizona aim to keep the home run going 
The Diamondbacks sit at 61-54, including a strong 33-23 mark at Chase Field. Their home park has become a proper problem for visitors, sitting 10 games above .500.
Over their last five, they have put up 31 runs, with two games of at least 10. Phoenix’s bats are hot at the right time.
Starter Merrill Kelly is still the big question, though, with a 5.04 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. He has allowed 124 hits and 46 walks in 114.1 innings.
Against the best batting average in the league, that many men on base is a bad sign. The Dodgers have more than enough firepower to punish loose control.
Arizona will lean on momentum and home field to cover for the shakiness on the mound. The July sweep showed this group knows how to beat the Dodgers.
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MLB Pick Dodgers vs Diamondbacks
Our pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
The Dodgers’ slump creates a buy-low spot on a team with a +140 run differential. Los Angeles have scored 57 more runs than Arizona this season and carry a team ERA that is 0.46 lower.
The starting-pitching edge also points to the visitors, with Sasaki ahead of Kelly in ERA, WHIP and strikeout rate. Taking the moneyline would mean paying too much for the favourite, while the -1.5 run line offers better value at 1.90.
The most likely script is a wake-up call for the league’s best attack against a pitcher who keeps letting runners slip through. The Dodgers have the tools to stretch this out in the middle innings.
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