- 1 Cobolli vs Fery : can the English fairytale last a little longer at Wimbledon?
- 2 Arthur Fery, four matches and already one hell of a story
- 3 Cobolli is a different player now than he was in Australia
- 4 Wimbledon prediction Cobolli vs Fery
- 5 First, a word on our predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images
Cobolli vs Fery : can the English fairytale last a little longer at Wimbledon? 
Arthur Fery was supposed to take the invite, soak up the experience and, if things broke right, give the home crowd a few decent moments. Instead, he is into the Wimbledon quarter-finals. Nobody saw that coming, probably not even Fery himself. But after four wins and a string of properly wild swings, the dream is starting to look very real.
On Wednesday, the Brit faces Flavio Cobolli with a place in the semi-finals on the line. It looked an unlikely poster a few weeks ago, though it is not exactly new ground for either man. They have already met this year, in the first round of the Australian Open, and Fery took the Italian to three sets. Plenty has changed since then. Especially for Cobolli, who has been a French Open finalist and now carries himself like a man who belongs on this stage. But for a player who has kept rolling without overthinking a thing all fortnight, that Melbourne memory is hardly trivial.
Arthur Fery, four matches and already one hell of a story 
You sometimes need a roadmap to follow one of Arthur Fery’s matches. Over the past week, the Brit has developed a taste for detours. Against Zizou Bergs in the third round, he found himself down two sets to one, then two breaks down in the fourth. That is usually where the story ends. His just kept going.
Two days later, he did it again on Centre Court against Grigor Dimitrov. Trailing by two sets to one once more, and looking close to the exit, Fery somehow dragged the night on. At 3-4 in the fourth set, the Bulgarian seemed to have it under control. Three games later, everything had been ripped up again. The Brit finally nicked the win in a fifth-set super tie-break (7-5, 3-6, 4-6, 6-4, 7-6), with Roger Federer watching from the Royal Box.
So here he is among the last eight after never having gone beyond the second round of a Grand Slam before. Before him, only four wild cards had reached the Wimbledon quarter-finals: Pat Cash, Goran Ivanisevic, Juan Carlos Ferrero and Nick Kyrgios. Not a bad list for a 23-year-old who came through college tennis at Stanford.
Fery does not win the easy way, but he always seems to find an escape hatch. Five of his last six best-of-five matches have seen him take the second set. It fits the picture of his fortnight perfectly: even when a match starts slipping away, he refuses to leave the building.
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Cobolli is a different player now than he was in Australia 
On January 13, Flavio Cobolli left Melbourne after a fairly routine loss to Arthur Fery: 7-6, 6-4, 6-1. Six months on, the two men meet in a very different setting. This time, the Italian arrives with a Grand Slam final behind him and a profile that looks nothing like the one he had at the start of the season.
Since that Australian defeat, Cobolli has gone up a level. He won in Acapulco on hard courts, reached the final in Munich on clay, then made the Roland-Garros final, where Alexander Zverev eventually shut him down. At 24, he has become the sort of player who can stack results across surfaces without losing his identity.
His Wimbledon run only backs that up. On Monday, Alex de Minaur could not take a set off him in the fourth round. It was a clean, sharp win that stretched an impressive streak: Cobolli has won eight of his last nine matches at the London major. He was already in the quarter-finals here last year, before Novak Djokovic beat him in four sets.
This time, the obstacle looks less frightening on paper. Only on paper. Cobolli knows exactly what Fery can do, having been on the wrong end of it in Melbourne. He will also have to deal with a crowd that is unlikely to stay quiet once its new darling starts turning another match on its head.
Recent form still tilts toward the Italian. In 2026, he has won four of the five quarter-finals he has played, with his only defeat at that stage coming against Alexander Zverev in Munich. Fery is finding this level for the first time. Cobolli is getting used to it.
Wimbledon prediction Cobolli vs Fery
Over 3.5 sets in the match
Flavio Cobolli brings more reliability and his results over the past few months give him the edge on paper. But Arthur Fery has spent the past week making tidy scripts look pointless. The Brit has already come back from two sets down twice and just knocked out Dimitrov in five.
More importantly, Fery knows he can beat Cobolli. He did it in three sets at the Australian Open earlier this year. The Italian has improved hugely since then and looks better equipped to handle a Grand Slam quarter-final, but expecting a smooth night against a player riding the full force of Wimbledon feels like a stretch. Between Cobolli’s level and Fery’s knack for hanging around when matches start to wobble, this one has a strong chance of going beyond three sets.
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Photo credits : ATP
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