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Roland-Garros: New favourites assessed after Jannik Sinner's exit

Roland-Garros: New favourites assessed after Jannik Sinner’s exit

Seed carnage meets the numbers crunch Tournoi de Roland-Garros

The official draw has already recorded Jannik Sinner’s early exit. Roland-Garros has seen several seeded players fall by the wayside. Carlos Alcaraz has withdrawn on medical grounds before a ball was hit. Italian star Lorenzo Musetti is out too. Frenchman Arthur Fils has also pulled out physically from the event. He had been the statistical favourite. The tournament has now lost the winners of the last nine Grand Slam events. Sinner’s status had pointed to a smooth run into the latter stages. His official elimination came in the second round.

The favourites market gets a full reset

The predictive models now point to a new set of leading contenders. German star Alexander Zverev has the best biometrics on the board. Novak Djokovic still carries a higher winning rate. Sinner’s defeat has blown the projections wide open. The bottom half of the draw looks badly unbalanced. His absence has created fresh paths through the tournament. With Sinner gone for good, an unexpected name is now in line to make the final.

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The full list of surprise contenders still alive

This section isolates 16 distinct names. One of these players will, mathematically, reach the final. The list includes Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Martin Landaluce is also in there. Matteo Berrettini makes the cut. Francisco Comesana is part of the group. Jaime Faria is on the database. Frances Tiafoe is listed as well. Matteo Arnaldi is named. Raphaël Collignon is included. Felix Auger-Aliassime is on the sheet. Brandon Nakashima is in the bracket. Moise Kouame is positioned here too. Alejandro Tabilo is cited. Fabio Cobolli is on the file. Learner Tien is named. Francisco Cerundolo is listed. Zachary Svajda rounds it off. Sinner’s removal gives one of these players a huge spotlight.

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