- 1 Chicago Cubs – Cincinnati Reds : The storm hits Illinois!
- 2 The Chicago Cubs’ untouchable fortress
- 3 The Reds’ psychological sinkhole
- 4 MLB Pick Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
- 5 Before anything else, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information can change
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals
Chicago Cubs – Cincinnati Reds : The storm hits Illinois! 
The final act of this gripping matchup is being played out on brutally uneven terms. Riding a wave of momentum, the Chicago Cubs have now strung together eight straight wins. What stands out most is how the first three clashes this week have gone: the Chicago Cubs have found a way to win every time, each one decided at the death, including yesterday’s nerve-shredding 10th-inning finish (7-6). For this pick, the real question is the mental gap between a side flying high and an opponent buried in doubt. With the excellent Imanaga on the mound for the Chicago Cubs, the stage is set for another road letdown.
The Chicago Cubs’ untouchable fortress 
The home side are carrying a rare sense of calm for this time of year. Right now, they are simply unplayable in their famous ballpark, having rattled off 14 straight wins in front of their own fans, matching a historic run that goes back to 2008. Ian Happ is riding that same wave too, reaching base for the 27th straight game in a Chicago Cubs uniform.
The threat comes from everywhere: late homers, bases-loaded walks, a bullpen that slams the door. This Cubs group keeps the pressure on the Reds’ defence from first pitch to last. The numbers back it up too: 5.4 runs per game compared with 4.1 for their rivals, plus a clear edge in hits.
The Reds’ psychological sinkhole 
The visitors head into this fourth meeting in a fragile state. Yesterday’s latest hammer blow has dragged Cincinnati into a miserable run of six straight defeats, and eight losses in their last 10 games. The problem runs deeper than the scoreboard: the visitors can spark into life, even grab the lead at times, but then they fold under the relentless pressure from the Chicago Cubs.
Scoring four runs in the ninth should have flipped the script, but fate has again sided with the Illinois crowd. To drop three straight games in the final breaths against the Chicago Cubs is the kind of mental scar that does not fade quickly.
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MLB Pick Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs to win
All the signs point strongly toward backing the home side. With that incredible unbeaten run at home, the Chicago Cubs hold a massive psychological edge after putting the Reds through the wringer three days in a row. Cincinnati still have the odd flash with the bat, but the mood in the camp is badly broken.
If the Japanese starter delivers his usual precise outing, the Illinois club should control the pace without much trouble. Another statement win for the Chicago Cubs looks the obvious play if you want to keep the money rolling tonight!
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