- 1 Kansas City Royals – Cleveland Guardians : A lock on the bases!
- 2 Missouri’s defensive edge against the Cleveland Guardians
- 3 The Cleveland Guardians’ glass ceiling
- 4 MLB Pick Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
- 5 First, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images
Kansas City Royals – Cleveland Guardians : A lock on the bases! 
This final showdown wraps up a series that has barely caught fire. The home side took the first two, before the Cleveland Guardians answered with a 3-1 win to kill off any hope of a sweep. For the finale, Kansas City handing the ball to Seth Lugo carries real weight, especially against a Cleveland line-up that has not exactly been raking. Cecconi on the mound does add a touch of concern for the Guardians, but the total set by the bookmakers looks too high.
Missouri’s defensive edge against the Cleveland Guardians 
Losing the third game does nothing to dull the home side’s tidy overall record, with seven wins in their last ten and an 11-8 return at home. Historically, this team does not go mad for runs, averaging a modest 4.2 per game, but it makes up for that with slick work in the field, posting a 0.993 efficiency mark.
That pragmatism is the strongest case for a tight game. Missouri can nick a few chances, but its make-up points away from a wild slugfest with the Cleveland Guardians. If Lugo sets the tone early on the mound, this one could be iced long before the Guardians get any real response.
The Cleveland Guardians’ glass ceiling 
That much-needed bounce-back on Wednesday levelled the visitors at 19-19 and gave them a shot at ending the trip on a high. But the Cleveland offence has been stuck in low gear since spring, with barely 4.1 runs per game and a modest .693 OPS. Those numbers do not point to a side likely to blow past a total without a big helping hand from the other dugout.
They did make the most of the few openings Ragans gave them, but Lugo is a far tougher assignment for the Cleveland bats. Without free passes and without walks, adding runs here looks like hard graft.
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MLB Pick Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Under 9.5 runs in the game
Cecconi adds a sliver of uncertainty, but the number on offer is still badly out of step with what these two teams usually produce. The combined scoring average sits at around four runs a side, and the recent head-to-head also points to a low-key outcome (3-1).
Missouri’s starter gives his team a solid safety net. The home side might still cash in on a few mistakes, but for this total to fly over tonight, the Cleveland Guardians would need to badly outperform themselves against a quality arm. Backing a cagey game, dragged down by the Guardians’ ongoing lack of punch, looks like the smart play today!
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