Newcastle – Qarabag: routine or goal‑fest on the cards? 
Some second legs crackle. This isn’t one. After that 6-1 thrashing in the first leg, Newcastle host Qarabag with one foot — make that one and a half — in the last 16. Barring a total meltdown, the outcome’s obvious. Question is: will the Magpies manage the job… or go hunting for more?
Newcastle: already through? 
Last week Anthony Gordon put on a historic show: four goals, records smashed, and he almost single‑handedly sealed qualification. Rarely has a European tie been settled so quickly. Statistically it’s simple: in the history of the European Cup no team has been knocked out after winning the first leg by five or more. Newcastle can already be eyeing the last 16.
That said, it’s not perfect. They lost 2-1 to Manchester City at the weekend and have looked shaky at home recently — three defeats in their last four at St James’ Park. Expect a reaction, even in a low-stakes game.
Qarabag: playing for pride 
A miracle is pure sci‑fi now. Qarabag are travelling mainly to save face and put in a respectable shift. Still, their European run has highs — a win over Benfica, a draw with Chelsea — but also heavy defeats. Conceding six to Liverpool and then six to Newcastle exposed defensive flaws you can’t ignore.
Against English sides their record is brutal: zero wins in ten meetings. So the aim is simple: hang on as long as possible and avoid another hiding.
Probable lineups
Newcastle : Ramsdale ; Trippier, Botman, Burn, A. Murphy ; Willock, Tonali, Joelinton ; J. Murphy, Osula, Barnes
Qarabag : Kochalski ; Silva, Bolt, Huseynov, Medina, Cafarquliyev ; Jankovic, Bicalho ; Montiel, Duran, Zubir
Football Prediction Newcastle vs Qarabag
Newcastle to score over 3.5 goals
Even with rotation, the gap in quality is huge. Qarabag will have to throw men forward if they want to dream, which will leave acres of space for the English. Not the fiercest contest expected… but likely another heavy score before a comfortable tie wrapped up.
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