AS Monaco vs PSG - Free Football Prediction and Tips - Champions League - February 17, 2026

AS Monaco vs PSG – Free Football Prediction and Tips – Champions League – February 17, 2026

Monaco – PSG: French blockbuster in the Champions League! Football européen : toute l'actualité des championnats de foot

A fully French tie Tuesday night at Louis-II Stadium. Monaco host Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg of the Champions League playoff. Familiar foes on a European stage — they know each other inside out and there’s no history left to nurse.

Back in November, Monaco nicked a 1-0 here to upset the reigning champions. Small scoreline, big message. This time the prize is continental. The stakes are higher and the pressure is rising.

Monaco: shaky in Europe, solid at home Fichier:Logo AS Monaco FC - 2021.svg — Wikipédia

The group phase wasn’t a smooth ride for Sébastien Pocognoli’s men. Three matches without a win, questions piling up, then a slight recovery. Two wins followed — nothing dramatic. Monaco have shuffled forward in fits and starts.

That hammering in Madrid (6-1) left its mark. Still, the draw against Juventus on the final day did the trick. They squeaked through by a point. Not pretty, but it worked.

The bigger worry is history. Monaco have now fallen at this knockout hurdle five times running over two-legged ties. Last season Benfica sent them packing at this stage. Recent experience is not on their side.

At Louis-II they’re a different team. Four European home games unbeaten. Three straight clean sheets. Monaco tighten up at home. Last weekend Nantes paid the price (3-1). A win to breathe after a patchy run.

Simple plan: be solid at home, hit when it matters, and don’t give Paris any space.

PSG: experience and depth Fichier:Paris Saint-Germain Logo.svg — Wikipédia

Paris arrive with a few bruises. Lost at Rennes (3-1), dumped out of the Cup by Paris FC, another setback in Lisbon. Nothing catastrophic, but enough to show the machine can squeak.

In the Champions League they missed out on automatic qualification, finishing 11th in their group. The draw with Newcastle on the last day hurt. Two points short, now they have to go through the playoffs.

They know how to handle this. Last season they crushed Brest 10-0 over the two legs at this stage. PSG manage these fixtures.

On the road in Europe their form is decent: seven wins in the last ten away games. They’re used to big nights and tight encounters.

One flaw: trips to the Principality. Only one win in the last six visits. Monaco have learned how to make Paris grind.

Probable line-ups

Monaco :
Köhn ; Vanderson, Teze, Kehrer, Henrique ; Zakaria, Coulibaly ; Fati, Golovin, Adingra ; Balogun

Paris Saint-Germain :
Safonov ; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes ; Zaïre-Emery, Vitinha, Neves ; Doué, Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia

Football Prediction Monaco vs PSG

Monaco or draw

Louis-II is no picnic for Paris. Monaco raise their level there and have conceded very little in recent European action. In a one-leg-at-a-time playoff, caution often wins.

PSG have the squad depth and the big-match know-how, but Monaco have the tools to hold, and maybe even cause an upset.

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Author

  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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