Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Free NBA prediction and picks - February 11, 2026

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Free NBA prediction and picks – February 11, 2026

Phoenix Suns – Oklahoma City Thunder: interesting West matchup

The Suns and Thunder meet for their 4th and penultimate showdown of the season. OKC have taken two of the three so far, but Phoenix were one of the first teams to rattle Mark Daigneault’s machine — they’ll be chasing another statement win tonight.

Phoenix Suns: get back into the top six before the break

The Suns sit 7th in the Western Conference at 31-22. Few expected this from Jordan Ott’s crew, but Dillon Brooks’ arrival has reshaped the team’s identity — tougher defensively — and filled the roster with hungry players cast off elsewhere, desperate to prove they belong in a playoff unit.

Long a top-six team in the West, Phoenix have cooled off: just 2 wins from their last 5, losses to Philadelphia (103-109), Golden State (97-101) and the Clippers (93-117) balanced by big wins over Portland (130-125) and Dallas (120-111). To beat the Thunder like they did earlier this season (108-105), the Suns will lean on that elite defence — 5th-best in the league at 111.4 points allowed — especially with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander out.

INJURY REPORT : Grayson Allen (OUT) – Isaiah Livers (OUT) – Cole Anthony (questionable)

Oklahoma City Thunder: go into the break on a high

Despite injuries, dips in form and recurring losses to the Spurs, the Thunder remain the league’s best team and the favourites to hold onto the title. OKC are 41-13 — the best record in the league — with the 2nd-best offence and the top defence. They dominate both ends and will wait until mid-April to defend their crown.

Without Shai, OKC face a proper test before a week off against the Suns. Phoenix were among the first to threaten Oklahoma City’s 16-game streak, pushing the champs to the limit (123-119). Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren will need to step up as offensive leaders in the MVP’s absence to avoid another loss — a third in four.

INJURY REPORT : Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OUT) – Ajay Mitchell (OUT) – Nikola Topic (OUT)

Bouton PenseBet

NBA prediction Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Under 221.5 points

When two of the league’s top-five defences meet, backing a shootout would be cheeky. Their last meeting finished 108-105 to the Suns. With Shai out, OKC have shown offensive hiccups, so expect a defensive slog rather than a scoring frenzy.

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Author

  • Sacha Stermer

    As an NBA and Spurs fan for more than 10 years, I created Buzzer Beater on social media. I also study information and communication as well as write article on Mathodds.


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