Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat - Free NBA prediction and tips - January 19, 2026

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat – Free NBA prediction and picks – January 19, 2026

Golden State Warriors – Miami Heat : reunion showdown for Jimmy Butler and the Heat

The Warriors host the Heat in the clash between Jimmy Butler’s two most recent teams. Two veteran squads, different styles. Should be a good watch. Expect a bit of extra edge on both sides!

Golden State Warriors : dictate the tempo

With three wins in a row and five victories in their last six outings, the Warriors are one of the league’s form teams. Convincing wins over Charlotte (136-116), New York (126-113) and Portland (119-97) show Steve Kerr’s group has turned a corner. Against the Heat, Golden State mustn’t get sucked into a high-tempo shootout — that’s Miami’s playground.

The Warriors hit a respectable 36,5 % from three, so they stay dangerous without chucking endlessly. The aim is plain: control the tempo, cut off opponent transitions and force Miami into half-court sets. Also note Jimmy Butler’s added motivation — he typically brings it versus his old team and can swing things on both ends.

INJURY REPORT : Draymond Green (probable) – De’Anthony Melton (OUT) – Seth Curry (OUT) – Gui Santos (OUT)

Miami Heat : explosive but inconsistent

The Heat arrive in California after a dramatic win over the Thunder (122-120), the reigning champs, snatched at the buzzer. A prestige victory, run at a very high pace with heavy scoring — above their usual average (still 119,5 points per game). But that night relied more on shot volume than tidy team control.

On the road Miami is often patchy (7-13 away from the Kaseya Center). Some players struggle to reproduce their home form, so banking on a one-man explosion is risky. Against a seasoned Warriors side, easy looks will be scarce, which should lengthen possessions and dampen the overall pace.

INJURY REPORT : Tyler Herro (OUT) – Jaime Jaquez Jr (probable) – Davion Mitchell (probable)


Bouton PenseBet

NBA Prediction Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Under 235,5 points

The first meeting this season finished 110-96 to the Heat. Golden State will want revenge, and the smartest route for Steve Kerr’s men is a controlled-tempo game — the opposite of what Miami prefers. The Warriors have experience (2ème équipe la plus âgée de la ligue) and know how to put themselves in position to grab a 4ème win in a row. Don’t forget the extra motivation Jimmy Butler will likely bring.

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Author

  • Sacha Stermer

    As an NBA and Spurs fan for more than 10 years, I created Buzzer Beater on social media. I also study information and communication as well as write article on Mathodds.


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