Brighton – Bournemouth : a South Coast derby ready to spark 
The 22nd round of the Premier League closes Monday night with an always-unpredictable clash between Brighton and Bournemouth at the Amex Stadium. The Seagulls arrive buoyed by an FA Cup win at Old Trafford, while the Cherries are left to swallow a cruel penalty shootout exit to Newcastle.
Brighton : a New Year that’s changed everything 
Fabian Hürzeler couldn’t have asked for a better week. A gutsy draw at the Etihad, then dumping Manchester United out at Old Trafford thanks to a decisive Danny Welbeck — not many managers pull that off. After a disastrous December — six Premier League games without a win — Brighton have found colour: two wins in their last three, four matches unbeaten, and a return to the Amex where they pick up most of their points. The numbers tell the story: 19 of Brighton’s 29 points came at home, and the Seagulls have lost there only twice in their last 18 league games, both times to Aston Villa. Under Hürzeler, Brighton have become synonymous with entertainment: they’ve both scored and conceded in 41 of his 59 Premier League matches, a record for a manager with more than 50 top-flight games.
Bournemouth : spectacular, but too fragile 
If Brighton like open games, Bournemouth do too. Their last seven matches have produced… 35 goals. The 3-3 at St James’ Park in the FA Cup was the latest proof. But that generosity has a cost. After forcing extra time, Bournemouth ultimately lost on penalties, just days after ending an 11-game winless run by beating Tottenham. The main problem is unchanged: nine away games without a win, only one away victory this season (at Tottenham in August), and they’ve conceded at least two goals in every away match since. And the Amex isn’t a friendly ground: Bournemouth have lost their last four Premier League trips there.
Compositions probables
Brighton :
Verbruggen ; Veltman, Dunk, Van Hecke, De Cuyper ; Ayari, Gross ; Gruda, Gomez, Mitoma ; Rutter
Bournemouth :
Petrovic ; Smith, Hill, Senesi, Truffert ; Scott, Cook ; Jimenez, Kroupi, Tavernier ; Evanilson
Key takeaways
- Brighton have lost at the Amex only twice in their last 18 Premier League games.
- Bournemouth have conceded at least two goals in every away game this season.
- The Cherries haven’t won in nine away matches.
- Brighton have avoided defeat seven times after conceding first this season.
- Bournemouth have taken the lead six times… and not won any of them.
Football Prediction Brighton vs Bournemouth
Brighton to win
Even if Bournemouth can strike first, their away defensive holes are too big to survive 90 minutes. Brighton, on the rise and solid at home, look equipped to take the win in an entertaining match.
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