Toulouse – Nice: a match where neither side really moves forward 
This Saturday at the Stadium, Toulouse and Nice meet in almost the same mess: two sides that can’t find real momentum, edging forward in fits and starts. Not a full-blown crisis. Not exactly calm either.
Toulouse: solid, but not always in charge at home 
The start of the year wasn’t what Toulouse wanted. That heavy 3-0 loss to Lens left marks, especially after an early red turned the game on its head. Down to ten men, Carles Martínez’s players spent most of the match under the cosh, far from their usual standard.
Still, that defeat feels like an exception. Before Lens, TFC had been tidy — only one loss in six across all competitions. The real pain is at home. Of the 22 goals they’ve conceded this Ligue 1 season, 14 came at the Stadium, with several games where the defence fell apart late on.
Toulouse haven’t lost two home matches in a row since last spring and they’ll fight to stop that happening now. Plus, the Violets have the better recent record against Nice, taking points in the last four meetings.
Nice: a slight upturn, no lift-off 
At Nice, the coaching change didn’t spark an instant miracle, but Claude Puel has steadied things. The Aiglons are unbeaten in their last three across all competitions, including a Coupe de France spot won on penalties at Nantes.
In the league it’s still patchy. Nice haven’t won in Ligue 1 since late October and they’re stuck in mid-table, only a few points clear of trouble. The away numbers are ugly: four straight defeats on the road and no wins in 90 minutes in their last six trips away from home.
That said, Nice don’t fold completely. They’ve taken points in three of their last four trips to Toulouse, including a 1-1 draw last season. When confidence is fragile, small margins matter.
Probable lineups
Toulouse :
Subs ; McKenzie, Cresswell, Bakhouche ; Sidibé, Sauer, Cáseres, Donnum ; Gboho, Messali ; Hidalgo
Nice :
Duppé ; Clauss, Bah, Mantsounga, Bard ; Everton, Ndombele, Sanson ; Cho, Wahi, Gouveia
Key points
- Toulouse have conceded 14 of their 22 goals at home this season.
- Nice haven’t won away in Ligue 1 for over two months.
- The Aiglons are on four straight defeats away from home.
- Toulouse have taken points in their last four matches against Nice.
- The last meeting at the Stadium ended 1-1.
Football prediction Toulouse vs Nice
Over 2.5 goals
Neither side inspires defensive confidence, especially in key moments. Toulouse concede too many at home. Nice often leave gaps on the road. With both teams desperate for reassurance, chances could come fast and often.
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