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Barnsley vs Oldham Athletic EFL Trophy prediction

Barnsley vs Oldham Athletic – Free Football Prediction – Nov 11

Barnsley vs Oldham Athletic: 23rd in League One, already out, and seven goals on Saturday

Barnsley are 23rd in League One with nine points from 12 games, and they’re already out of the EFL Trophy. Two defeats from two in Northern Group G mean Wednesday’s visit of Oldham Athletic can’t change their position.

Oldham are through. Micky Mellon’s side have six points from two games and a top-two finish secured, so this is the final group game for two clubs with nothing left to play for in the competition.

The match is at Oakwell on Wednesday 11 November, kick-off 19:00 UK time. Fleetwood Town and Leeds United U21 are the other sides in the group, both on three points, and they still have their own game to play against each other. Barnsley are bottom with no points, a goal difference of minus four and no way of finishing in the top two.

The group’s games have been open. Barnsley lost 4-3 at home to Leeds U21 on 22 September and 4-1 at Fleetwood on 6 October, and Oldham beat Leeds U21 4-2 on 13 October. Three of the four matches produced at least five goals; the exception was Oldham’s 1-0 win over Fleetwood.

Both clubs come in off FA Cup wins at the weekend. Barnsley beat Aldershot 7-2, and Oldham knocked out Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 after extra time, with Will Sutton scoring the winner in the 110th minute.

History favours the hosts: Barnsley are unbeaten in six meetings with Oldham, with five wins and a draw. The most recent was a 2-1 win at Boundary Park in this competition in September 2018, so it tells us little about either current squad.

Barnsley: 7-2 against Aldershot after five league games without a win Barnsley

Barnsley had gone five league games without a win before Saturday. They lost 3-1 at Stockport, 2-1 at home to Cambridge, 2-1 at Luton and 2-1 at Reading, then drew 1-1 with Oxford.

The FA Cup tie with Aldershot went the other way. McGeehan scored a hat-trick and Yoganathan added two in a 7-2 win, and Daniel Stendel, back in charge at Oakwell, is expected to keep a similar side for Wednesday.

That suggests a strong line-up for a dead rubber. Brownlie, who scored at Fleetwood, may start, and Patrick Kelly, rested at the weekend, is in line to return in midfield.

The Trophy defeats were heavy. Leeds U21’s C. Mills scored a hat-trick at Oakwell on 22 September, and at Highbury on 6 October Fleetwood scored three times between the 59th and 67th minutes, then once more after Brownlie’s goal, to win 4-1.

Ben Hamed Toure and Fabio Jalo are out. Tobi Adeyemo went off injured against Oxford and is a doubt, although he’s still named in the expected line-up.

The defending is the weak point. Barnsley have conceded eight goals in two Trophy games and haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last six matches in all competitions.

They’ve scored in every one of those six, and in both Trophy games. Yoganathan, A. Richards and Connell all scored in the 4-3 defeat to Leeds U21, a game in which Barnsley got three goals in the last ten minutes.

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Oldham Athletic: top of the group, 18th in League Two, and an extra-time win on Sunday Oldham Athletic

Oldham are 18th in League Two, with four wins and seven defeats from 14 league games. The Trophy has gone better: two wins from two, five goals scored and two conceded.

Chilvers has been central to that. He scored the only goal against Fleetwood a minute after half-time and opened the scoring from the penalty spot against Leeds U21, with Drummond, Hawkes and Payne also on target in the 4-2 win.

The league results are mixed. Oldham beat Cheltenham 4-1 and won 1-0 at Northampton, but lost 3-0 at Walsall and 1-0 at home to Crawley, with a 1-1 draw at Barnet in between.

The FA Cup win at Sheffield Wednesday took 120 minutes. Kavanagh scored in normal time and Sutton won it ten minutes from the end of extra time, so legs are a factor three days later.

Mellon is still expected to name a similar side. Oldham’s bench was incomplete at the weekend, which limits his rotation options, and Norburn and Pett may have to play again. Ryan Delaney and Keenan Appiah-Forson are out.

A three-man defence of Sutton, Daniels and Monthe is the likely set-up, with Fondop and Kavanagh in attack. Oldham conceded two to Leeds U21 in their last Trophy game.

Probable lineup Barnsley: Slicker; Okedina, Gale, Kay, Larkeche; Connell, Kelly; Yoganathan, McGeehan, Cleary; Adeyemo
Probable lineup Oldham Athletic: Hudson; Sutton, Daniels, Monthe; Scott-Morriss, Pett, Norburn, Robson; Chilvers; Fondop, Kavanagh

Free Football Prediction: Barnsley vs Oldham Athletic

Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals

We’re backing three or more goals. Three of the four games in this group have had at least five, Barnsley have conceded eight in two Trophy matches, and both sides scored freely at the weekend.

Barnsley have scored in each of their last six games and haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of them. Oldham have five Trophy goals in two matches, four of them against Leeds U21.

The risk is a flat game, with nothing at stake and Oldham tired after extra time on Sunday. We’d expect that to hurt the defending more than the attacking, and with Stendel picking a strong side at home, goals at both ends look the likeliest outcome.

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