- 1 Curaçao vs Panama: three meetings, no Panama defeat, and a first leg in Willemstad
- 2 Curaçao: 12 group goals, four of them from Gorré, but Paulina and Hansen are out
- 3 Panama: no goals at the World Cup, but clean sheets in both previous quarter-final away legs
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Curaçao vs Panama
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Curaçao vs Panama: three meetings, no Panama defeat, and a first leg in Willemstad 
Panama have played Curaçao three times under Thomas Christiansen and haven’t lost. They won 2-1 at home and drew 0-0 away in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup, then won 2-1 at the Ergilio Hato Stadium in the Nations League on 13 October 2023.
The same ground hosts the first leg of this Nations League quarter-final on Thursday 12 November. Kick-off is in the evening in Willemstad, which falls late on Thursday night UK time; published listings currently differ on the exact hour, so check before the game.
The return leg is in Panama City on Sunday 15 November at the Estadio Rommel Fernández. The tie is decided on away goals first, then extra time and penalties, and the winner goes through to the Final Four in March 2027 and to the 2027 Gold Cup.
Curaçao earned their place by winning Group A unbeaten, with ten points and 12 goals, the most scored by any side in the group phase. Panama didn’t play a group game: they went straight to the quarter-finals as one of the four seeded nations, alongside Mexico, the USA and Canada.
The other quarter-finals are Guatemala vs Canada, Haiti vs the USA and Jamaica vs Mexico, all played between 13 and 17 November. The Final Four is scheduled for SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles.
Both teams were at the 2026 World Cup, and both left early. Curaçao took one point from three games, Panama none, and Panama didn’t score a goal at the tournament.
Panama have reached the last three Final Fours, in 2022-23, 2023-24 and 2024-25. We think the head-to-head and that knockout experience count for more over 90 minutes in Willemstad than Curaçao’s group-stage goal tally.
Curaçao: 12 group goals, four of them from Gorré, but Paulina and Hansen are out 
Kenji Gorré scored four of Curaçao’s 12 goals in the group stage. Dick Advocaat’s side won 4-3 in Costa Rica, beat Nicaragua 6-1 and Trinidad and Tobago 1-0 at home, then drew 1-1 in Trinidad to finish with ten points from 12.
The defence was less convincing. Curaçao conceded five times in those four games, three of them in the win in Costa Rica, and they needed Jordi Paulina’s 61st-minute equaliser to draw in Trinidad after Luke Phillip had scored on 39.
Paulina won’t play in this tie. He’s injured, as are Sontje Hansen, with a hamstring problem, and Roshon van Eijma, with a muscle injury. Jürgen Locadia is also unavailable for this window.
The 23-man squad includes Armando Obispo of PSV, FC Zürich’s Livano Comenencia and Tahith Chong of Sheffield United, and Deveron Fonville and Godfried Roemeratoe are back. Eloy Room and Leandro Bacuna share the national caps record with 79 each.
The World Cup gives some perspective on this squad’s level. Curaçao lost 7-1 to Germany, drew 0-0 with Ecuador and lost 2-0 to Ivory Coast in Philadelphia, two goals from Nicolas Pépé. They’ve been unbeaten since.
Curaçao’s last knockout match in a CONCACAF competition was the 2019 Gold Cup quarter-final, a 1-0 defeat to the USA. They’ve never been past this stage.
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Panama: no goals at the World Cup, but clean sheets in both previous quarter-final away legs 
Panama have played two previous Nations League quarter-finals and won both, keeping a clean sheet in the away leg each time. That’s the pattern Christiansen will want to repeat in Willemstad.
Their 2026 has been poor in front of goal. Panama lost 1-0 to Ghana, 1-0 to Croatia and 2-0 to England at the World Cup, and their last competitive win inside 90 minutes was a 3-0 against El Salvador in November 2025.
The friendlies since the summer haven’t changed that much. None of their last three produced a win or a defeat in normal time.
The 25-man squad is the experienced core: Mosquera of Al-Fayha in goal, A. Murillo of Beşiktaş and Norwich’s J. Córdoba in defence, Carrasquilla of Pumas in midfield, and Ismael Díaz and J. Fajardo up front. Kadir Barría of Botafogo is back, and Manuel Morán is the only uncapped player.
Fajardo and Díaz are joint eighth on Panama’s all-time scoring list and one goal from joint sixth. The squad trained in Panama City from 8 November and flies to Curaçao on Wednesday.
The expected shape is a back five, with Murillo, Krug, Córdoba, Andrade and Gutiérrez in front of Mosquera. That’s a system built to keep the first leg tight and take the tie home to Panama City.
Probable lineup Curaçao: Room; Sambo, Gaari, Carolina, Floranus; Comenencia, L. Bacuna; J. Bacuna, Antonisse, Gorré; Margaritha
Probable lineup Panama: Mosquera; Murillo, Krug, Córdoba, Andrade, Gutiérrez; Martínez, Harvey, Carrasquilla, Bárcenas; Fajardo
Free Football Prediction: Curaçao vs Panama
Our prediction: Panama or draw (double chance X2)
We’re backing Panama not to lose the first leg. They’re unbeaten in three meetings with Curaçao, they kept clean sheets in the away legs of both previous Nations League quarter-finals, and a back five is set up for exactly this kind of game.
Curaçao’s 12 group goals came against Costa Rica, Nicaragua and Trinidad and Tobago, and they still conceded five. Without Paulina, Hansen and Van Eijma, they lose part of the attack that scored those goals.
The obvious objection is Panama’s own scoring: none at the World Cup and no competitive 90-minute win for a year. That’s why we’re not backing a Panama win outright. A draw or an away win covers the result we expect, a tight first leg that leaves the tie open for Sunday.
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