Napoli – Parma : the champions can’t afford to slip up 
After two frustrating draws last week, Napoli absolutely must get the engine running again on Wednesday night at the Stadio Maradona. Held by Verona, then putting in a big showing in Milan, the Partenopei know anything but a win will make defending the title even harder.
Napoli: solid, combative… but short on finishing 
On Sunday night Napoli turned up at San Siro and played a top-level game.
Against Inter, Conte’s men stood up to the leaders, and Scott McTominay again came up clutch with a brace, including an equaliser minutes after Conte was sent off for protesting.
Four days earlier it was him who got Napoli going against Verona, in a 2-2 where the champions had to scrap to avoid disaster.
Despite the turbulence, one stat is brutal:
Napoli are unbeaten in 19 Serie A matches at the Maradona, with 14 wins in that run.
Their last home defeat was over a year ago.
In a title race where Inter, Milan, Juventus and even Roma are lurking, Napoli have no choice: they must win, especially at home.
Parma: better, a lot better… but Napoli is a different story 
Parma, for their part, are finally breathing.
With 10 points from their last six matches, Carlos Cuesta’s side have climbed to 14th, seven points above the drop zone.
Last weekend they made the most of Lecce’s chaos — down to ten then nine men — to turn the game around and grab a crucial win.
Mateo Pellegrino struck again, confirming his status as indispensable — and a hot topic for the transfer window.
One detail worth noting:
Parma have won three of their last four away games.
For a team fighting to stay up, that’s no small thing.
But recent history at the Maradona is cruel: Parma have lost four of their last five Serie A trips there.
And Napoli, even when weakened, remain a different class of opponent.
Likely line-ups
Napoli :
Milinkovic-Savic ; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Buongiorno ; Politano, Lobotka, McTominay, Spinazzola ; Elmas, Lang ; Hojlund
Parma :
Corvi ; Del Prato, Circati, Valenti, Valeri ; Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen ; Ondrejka, Benedyczak ; Pellegrino
Key takeaways
- Napoli are unbeaten in 19 Serie A matches at the Maradona.
- Parma have taken 10 points from their last six matches.
- The Partenopei remain in the title race despite injuries.
- Parma have won three of their last four away games.
Football Prediction Napoli vs Parma
Napoli to win
Aside from a catastrophic half against Verona, Napoli have shown they can manage absences and stay competitive.
Parma are improving, but at the Maradona, against a team playing with everything on the line, the quality gap should show.
First — a word on our predictions
- What we publish on Mathodds are analyses, nothing more. We give an opinion, a read of the moment, never a guarantee. Sport stays what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a goal from nowhere… and the script flips.
- Let’s be clear: there’s no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when something looks “obvious”, it rarely is. And yes, you can lose. It’s inevitable at some point.
- Best rule: be sensible. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Don’t touch money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase losses — it usually ends badly.
- A bet should stay a game, not a job or a source of income. If it’s taking over your life, annoying you or putting you under pressure, take a break. If needed, speak to a specialised organisation. That’s what they’re there for.
- In the end, the responsibility is yours. Reading our content means you accept the risk exists and it won’t disappear, even with the best analysis in the world.
- Important reminder: betting is forbidden to minors and must comply with your country’s laws. Gambling can spiral quickly (loss of money, family tensions, addiction). Need Help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. In the UK? Visit https://www.gambleaware.org/https://www.gambleaware.org/.
No commitment from us
Our predictions aren’t a contract. They carry no legal weight. Plain and simple: you can’t rely on them to claim anything if a bet fails.
Info can change
A prediction is based on what we know when we write it. In the meantime a lineup can change, a player can get injured, the weather can turn… and the analysis can become out of date. We can’t be held liable for that.
Your role
Before you bet, check that gambling is legal where you live. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling above all
We’ll say it again: gamble responsibly. If you struggle to keep control, don’t wait to get help. We can’t be responsible for compulsive or excessive use of the information published on the site.
Legal age
Mathodds’s content is intended for adults only. By browsing here you confirm you’re of the legal age to bet.
About the visuals
The images and logos on Mathodds, including those of Napoli and Parma linked to Serie A, are here only to illustrate our articles. They don’t mean we have an official relationship with any federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them.
These rights belong to the original creators. If, despite our care, an image causes a problem, contact us: it will be removed without delay.
Our sole aim with these images is to make the reading experience nicer. Nothing more. No commercial gain, no claiming someone else’s work.
Leave a Reply