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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers NHL prediction

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers – Free NHL Prediction – Nov 14

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers: four straight wins over Philly and a tired road team in town NHL

Columbus beat Philadelphia on January 28, March 14 and March 24 last season, a 3-0 sweep of the series, then won 4-3 in overtime in Philadelphia on October 27. Kent Johnson scored twice that night, the winner included, after Drysdale had tied it with 11 seconds left in regulation.

The rematch is at Nationwide Arena on Saturday November 14, puck drop 7pm ET.

The schedule makes this awkward for the Flyers. They’re at Edmonton on Wednesday, fly back east, play here on Saturday and host the Oilers again on Sunday. Columbus will have played three home games in five nights, but they won’t have left the building.

Philadelphia are 5-10-5 with 15 points, in the bottom three of the Metropolitan Division. Their 2.25 goals per game ranks 31st. They did win 3-1 in Vancouver on Monday, a night after losing 4-3 in overtime in Calgary.

Columbus are 7-8-0 with 14 points, sixth in the Metro before Tuesday’s game against Florida. The split is stark: 6-3-0 at home, 1-5-0 on the road.

Neither team scores much. The Blue Jackets average 2.53 goals, 29th, and both power plays sit in the bottom eight of the league.

The Metro table puts it in context. Carolina lead on 30 points, and Columbus, Pittsburgh and Philadelphia are bunched at the bottom within a point or two of each other, though the Flyers have played more games.

Columbus Blue Jackets: 6-3-0 at Nationwide Arena and Kent Johnson leading the way Columbus Blue Jackets

Kent Johnson leads the team with 8 goals and 16 points. Werenski has 12 assists from the blue line, and Coyle has 13 points.

Rick Bowness’s side have been a different team at home. They beat Colorado 7-2 on November 3 and Dallas 2-1 in a shootout two nights later, then lost 5-2 in Buffalo on November 6.

Cam Talbot has been the better of the two goalies by a margin. He’s 5-2-0 with a 2.44 goals-against average and a .910 save percentage, and he made 28 saves in the October win in Philadelphia. Jet Greaves is 2-6-0 with an .880.

Special teams hold them back. The power play runs at 17.5%, 27th, and the penalty kill at 75.6%, 21st. They do win faceoffs, 53.2% of them, sixth in the league.

Monahan hurt his knee against Buffalo on November 6 and was expected back on Tuesday. Mateychuk was being checked for an eye injury picked up in practice. Conor Garland is out with no timetable and Isac Lundestrom remains on long-term injured reserve. Steven Lorentz and Jack Williams were recalled from Cleveland on November 8 to fill the gaps.

Matthew Knies, acquired from Toronto for Kirill Marchenko in late September, is now part of a forward group that also includes Nichushkin, Sillinger and Fantilli. Fantilli scored in the October win and has a six-game point streak against Philadelphia, worth 7 points.

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Philadelphia Flyers: 2-6-2 on the road and the front end of a back-to-back Philadelphia Flyers

The Flyers have won 4 of their last 10 games. The most recent was the 3-1 win in Vancouver, with goals from Michael Bunting, Konecny on the power play and Sanheim into an empty net.

They took only 17 shots that night. Philadelphia average 23.8 shots per game and allow 28.6, which leaves their goalies doing a lot of work.

Joseph Woll has been the steadier of the two, 2.91 goals-against and a .902 save percentage over 10 games despite a 2-6-2 record. Dan Vladar is 3-4-3 with an .880, and he made only 11 saves in the October loss to Columbus.

Michkov has 10 goals, the most on the team, and Zegras has 14 points. Dvorak has 10 points and Drysdale 9.

The penalty kill is the one area where they rank well, 80.6% and 10th in the league. The power play, at 18.3%, is 25th.

As an underdog this season, Philadelphia have won 4 of 14 games. The Over landed in four of their last six before Monday’s 3-1 win.

Ristolainen has been on injured reserve with a hand injury, with a return pencilled in for around November 11. Grebenkin is out until February with a back injury.

Probable lineup Columbus Blue Jackets: Not announced at time of publication. Expected in goal: Cam Talbot. Up front: Johnson, Coyle, Fantilli, Knies, Nichushkin, Sillinger; Werenski on defence.
Probable lineup Philadelphia Flyers: Not announced at time of publication. Recent lines: Foerster-Dvorak-Konecny, Martone-Cates-Michkov, Zegras-Knuble-Tippett, Barkey-Couturier-Acciari. In goal: Woll or Vladar.

Free NHL Prediction: Columbus Blue Jackets vs Philadelphia Flyers

Our prediction: Columbus Blue Jackets to win

I’m backing Columbus. They’re 6-3-0 at home, they’ve won all four meetings across last season and this one, and the Flyers arrive after a game in Edmonton with another one against the Oilers waiting the next night. Philadelphia have won 2 of 10 on the road.

I’m not convinced by the Blue Jackets’ special teams, and Philadelphia’s penalty kill is the better unit. That keeps the margin small, which is why I’d stay away from the puck line.

Talbot’s .910 against a team scoring 2.25 a game is the edge. No line was posted at the time of writing, but the moneyline on the home side is the bet.

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  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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