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Andorra vs Gibraltar Nations League prediction

Andorra vs Gibraltar – Free Football Prediction – Nov 13

Andorra vs Gibraltar: four meetings, two goals, and an Andorra side still waiting for a first win in the fixture UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar haven’t lost in six games. The run includes a 2-0 friendly win in Liechtenstein on 5 October, a 1-1 draw in Malta four days earlier and a 0-0 with Andorra at the Victoria Stadium on 27 September, and it takes them into Friday’s trip to Encamp as the in-form side in League D Group 1.

Andorra host Gibraltar at the Estadi de la FAF on Friday 13 November, with kick-off at 19:45 UK time. The ground holds about 5,500, and the forecast is for temperatures around two degrees at kick-off.

We think the head-to-head is the most relevant record here. Andorra and Gibraltar have met four times: a 0-0 in June 2021, two 1-0 friendly wins for Gibraltar in November 2022 and September 2024, and September’s goalless draw. That’s two goals in four games, both scored by Gibraltar.

The group is a three-team section. Malta lead with seven points from three games, Gibraltar have two from two and Andorra one from three. Malta’s two wins both came against Andorra, 2-1 in Encamp on 24 September and 1-0 in Ta’ Qali on 4 October.

That leaves Gibraltar with a route to first place. If they win here and then beat Malta at Europa Point on 16 November, they finish on eight points against Malta’s seven. Andorra, with a maximum of four points, can’t win the group but can still take second.

The bookmakers still make Andorra the favourites. They’re priced at 1.84, with the draw at 3.10 and Gibraltar at 5.60, while the draw-or-Gibraltar double chance is available at 1.72.

Andorra: one goal in five games and five without a win Andorra

Andorra’s only goal since June came from Guillaume Lopez on 17 minutes against Malta on 24 September, when he followed up a spilled save from Henry Bonello. Malta replied through Irvin Cardona on 36 minutes and Teddy Teuma on 81, and Andorra finished the night with five yellow cards.

The results either side of that game are all defeats or blanks. Koldo Alvarez’s side lost 3-0 to Kosovo in a June friendly, drew 0-0 in Gibraltar, lost 3-0 to Lithuania in a friendly and then lost 1-0 in Malta on 4 October. Their last win, before that run started, was a 2-0 friendly against Liechtenstein.

The squad for this window hadn’t been published when we wrote this. The September group included captain Moises San Nicolas, who has 105 caps, Albert Rosas of Logrono with five international goals, and Jordi Alaez with four, along with Lopez, Marc Vales and Ot Remolins.

The goalkeeping position is less settled than it was. Iker Alvarez was in the September squad, but he’s lost his place at Cordoba, so Andorra’s first-choice goalkeeper isn’t playing regular club football.

Andorra have played two group games in Encamp and one in Gibraltar. They lost the home game against Malta and haven’t scored against Gibraltar in four attempts, which is the record they need to change on Friday.

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Gibraltar: unbeaten in six and Scanlon scoring for club and country Gibraltar

Scott Wiseman’s side have won three and drawn three of their last six. Before the Nations League, they beat the British Virgin Islands 4-0 and the Cayman Islands 4-1 and drew 0-0 with Sao Tome and Principe, then took two points from two group games and won in Liechtenstein.

James Scanlon scored Gibraltar’s goal in Malta, on 61 minutes, to cancel out Mbong’s opener. The Arsenal under-21 winger has two goals in three Premier League 2 games this season and six international goals in 28 caps, which makes him the most dangerous player on the pitch on Friday.

Wiseman named a 24-man squad for the last two group games. Louie Annesley is back, and Luke Schofield, Jayvan Garro, Jesse Gomez and Jeremy Perera are all included. Kai Mauro and Jaiden Bartolo are the two names missing, and no injuries have been reported.

The core of the squad is unchanged from September. Bradley Banda, Jaylan Hankins, Bernardo Lopes, Graeme Torrilla, Dan Bent and Nicholas Pozo all keep their places, and Tjay De Barr brings 63 caps and four goals.

Gibraltar’s defence has conceded once in two group games. Across their six-game unbeaten run, they’ve let in two goals, and they haven’t conceded to Andorra in any of the four meetings.

Probable lineup Andorra: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Gibraltar: Not announced at time of publication

Free Football Prediction: Andorra vs Gibraltar

Our prediction: Draw or Gibraltar, double chance (1.72)

We’re taking the draw or Gibraltar at 1.72. Andorra have never beaten Gibraltar, haven’t scored against them in four meetings and have one goal in their last five games. Gibraltar are unbeaten in six and conceded only once in the group.

Andorra’s home advantage is the reason they’re favourites, and they play at their own ground in Encamp. Their only home game of the group still ended in a 2-1 defeat, though, and in the September meeting neither side managed a goal over 90 minutes.

Gibraltar also have more to play for. A win keeps their chance of finishing top alive before Malta come to Europa Point, and Wiseman has his strongest squad available. On the evidence of four meetings and the current form of both sides, we’d expect another low-scoring night with Andorra unable to win it.

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