- 1 Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks: the East’s 12th and 15th, and a Magic team finally back home
- 2 Orlando Magic: Franz Wagner at 20.8 points and 8.8 assists, with Banchero and Suggs out
- 3 Milwaukee Bucks: Herro at 22.3, and a defense allowing 121.6 a night
- 4 Free NBA Prediction: Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks: the East’s 12th and 15th, and a Magic team finally back home 
Milwaukee is 1-9 and last in the Eastern Conference. The only win came on October 26, 110-102 against Indiana, and the Bucks have lost six straight since. Boston beat them 117-97 on Sunday after Milwaukee had led 20-6 early.
Orlando isn’t far above them. The Magic are 2-7, 12th in the East, and have lost four in a row. Their two wins both came on the road, 111-102 in New York on October 25 and 121-114 in Toronto on October 30. They’re 0-4 at Kia Center.
Tip-off is Friday 13 November at 7:00pm ET in Orlando, and it’s an NBA Cup group game. The Magic play in Sacramento on Tuesday and Utah on Wednesday to finish a four-game road trip. Friday is their first home game since November 2.
The Bucks have a home-and-away week of their own: at the Knicks on Tuesday, home to the Lakers on Wednesday, then the flight south. Both teams get exactly one day off before this game.
Orlando took last season’s series 2-1. The Magic won 118-99 at home on February 9 and 130-91 in Milwaukee on March 8. Milwaukee’s lone win was 116-108 in Orlando on February 11. The rosters in those games had Giannis Antetokounmpo in a Bucks jersey, which is the one detail that no longer applies.
Antetokounmpo and Bobby Portis went to Miami in the summer. Milwaukee’s version of this matchup now runs through Tyler Herro, who came the other way in that deal.
Orlando Magic: Franz Wagner at 20.8 points and 8.8 assists, with Banchero and Suggs out 
Paolo Banchero scored 24.5 a game over the first two games and then sprained his right ankle on October 24. It’s a high-ankle sprain, and the timeline was four to six weeks. Jalen Suggs is out with a bone bruise in his right knee, with a re-evaluation due around today. Jonathan Isaac (knee) and Noah Penda (hamstring) are also out.
Franz Wagner has taken over. He’s averaging 20.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 8.8 assists, and he scored 30 with 11 assists in Saturday’s 126-119 overtime loss in Golden State. Desmond Bane adds 17.5 points, though he missed that game with an illness. Anthony Black is at 15.7 and left in overtime with a leg cramp.
Wendell Carter Jr. is putting up 14.8 points and 9.6 rebounds, and Tristan da Silva 15.1. That’s five players in double figures without Banchero or Suggs, and Sean Sweeney, in his first season as head coach, hasn’t had a healthy roster to work with.
The losses haven’t been blowouts. Orlando went down 108-97 to Boston and 103-94 to Washington at home, 117-104 in Phoenix, and then needed overtime to lose in San Francisco. The Magic score 107.0 points a game and allow 116.2.
Milwaukee scores 108.4 a game, barely more than Orlando’s 107.0, so this one comes down to which defense holds up better.
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Milwaukee Bucks: Herro at 22.3, and a defense allowing 121.6 a night 
Milwaukee allows 121.6 points a game, 28th in the league. The Bucks have given up 117 or more in four of their last six games: 132 to Houston, 136 to Cleveland, 121 to Toronto and 117 to Boston on Sunday. The exceptions were 112 in Minnesota and 109 in Boston.
Taylor Jenkins took the job on April 30 after Doc Rivers resigned, and he got a new roster in July. The trade that sent Antetokounmpo and Portis to Miami brought back Herro, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis and draft rights to Nate Ament.
Herro leads the Bucks at 22.3 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.6 assists. Jaquez is scoring 16.4 with 6.2 rebounds. Ryan Rollins adds 11.1 points and 4.1 assists, and the No. 10 pick, Brayden Burries, is at 10.2.
Kyle Kuzma is averaging 9.9 points and 6.0 rebounds, and he scored 14 in the first five minutes against Boston before the Celtics took over. Ware is at 9.6 points and 7.7 rebounds, and Myles Turner at 7.6 and 5.8.
Gary Trent Jr. missed Sunday with an illness. Beyond that, Milwaukee’s roster is close to full strength, which makes 1-9 harder to explain away.
The Bucks’ 121-107 loss to Toronto on November 6 was their opening NBA Cup game, so Friday is a second chance in that group. Orlando, by contrast, won its Cup opener 121-114 in Toronto. A loss here would leave Milwaukee at 0-2 in group play.
Probable lineup Orlando Magic: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Milwaukee Bucks: Not announced at time of publication
Free NBA Prediction: Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
Our prediction: Orlando Magic to win
I’d back Orlando. Both teams are in bad shape, but the Magic’s last four losses came by an average of 10 points, while Milwaukee has lost by 20 or more three times in its last six. Orlando also gets its first home game in 11 days.
No odds are posted yet. If the Orlando moneyline opens at 1.45 or above, it’s the bet. If it opens shorter, the Magic on a small handicap is the alternative.
The risk is the Orlando injury list. Without Banchero and Suggs, and with Bane and Black both coming off health problems, the Magic’s rotation can thin out fast. Wagner’s 8.8 assists have kept the offense functional, and against a defense allowing 121.6 a game he should have room to work.
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